中国推进碳中和的政策取向:零碳单元体的战略动能价值研究OA

Global climate governance is experiencing a paradigm crisis triggered by failing multilateral mechanisms:the gap between national mitigation commitments and on-the-ground implementation continues to widen,and regional climate regulations-as exemplified by the EU's Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism(CBAM)-have evolved into implicit trade barriers.Meanwhile,the prevailing top-down model for achieving Carbon Neutrality has long been constrained by insufficient incentives for micro-entities,inadequate implementation,and a lack of intrinsic synergy with industrial upgrading.Against this backdrop,China's Carbon Neutrality policy system underwent a fundamental strategic shift between 2023 and early 2026,moving from macro-target disaggregation toward micro-carrier empowerment.However,existing research has not yet established a coherent theoretical framework for the Zero-carbon Energy Prosumerage System(ZEPS),nor has it revealed the core logic by which ZEPS addresses the structural contradictions inherent in the Carbon Neutrality process.This study aims to fill these research gaps. This paper systematically elaborates an original theory of ZEPS,defining it as a"cell of social civilization"that embodies a new paradigm of harmony between humanity and nature.It delineates four core characteristics of ZEPS:the absoluteness and primacy of its zero-carbon constraint,the unity of the producer and consumer identities,the organic integration and intelligent coordination of technological components,and its flattened production relations with deep social embeddedness.A three-level nested structure is constructed,comprising the basic layer,system layer,and aggregation layer,and ZEPS is rigorously distinguished from easily confused concepts such as zero-carbon industrial parks,microgrids,virtual power plants,and distributed photovoltaic systems.Drawing on a systematic analysis of China's policy architecture,seven key dimensions supporting ZEPS development are identified:target constraints,organizational templates,technical infrastructure,spatial benchmarks,market engines,capital injection,and institutional breakthroughs.The techno-economic feasibility and multi-level value creation of ZEPS are empirically verified through two representative cases:the community-level ZEPS in Tongzhou,Beijing,and the Ordos Zero-Carbon Industrial Park. The principal innovations and findings are threefold.First,the paper establishes a comprehensive theoretical framework for ZEPS,revealing that its defining logic is the integration of producer and consumer.This subverts the classic producer-consumer dichotomy embedded in fossil-fuel-based energy systems,reconstructs energy-production relations from the technological base,and gives rise to a flattened production model that stands in fundamental opposition to the centralized,monopolistic,and hierarchical structure of the fossil-fuel era.Second,it systematically identifies six strategic driving forces through which ZEPS propels green and low-carbon economic development:serving as a cornerstone of clean energy supply,enabling the extension of zero-carbon industrial chains,catalyzing the upgrading of zero-carbon product consumption,advancing social equity and shared prosperity,reconciling ecological protection with economic development,and providing a fulcrum for international competition and cooperation.The paper further elucidates the multi-level value-transmission logic of ZEPS,extending from the foundational guarantee of energy security to the enhancement of discursive power in global climate governance.Third,it pinpoints four major systemic obstacles to the large-scale deployment of ZEPS:demand-resource mismatches,institutional and infrastructural bottlenecks,uncoordinated market mechanisms,and insufficient capacity building.On this basis,an innovative bottom-up transformation model is proposed,centered on the principle of"terminal energy demand driving energy autonomy".A three-stage progressive implementation pathway is designed,together with a corresponding enabling ecosystem. This study not only provides a systematic theoretical framework and an operable implementation pathway for translating China's Carbon Neutrality ambitions from macro-level strategy into micro-level practice,but also contributes a replicable Chinese solution for achieving a distributed and inclusive zero-carbon transition worldwide.In particular,it offers a novel development paradigm for developing countries to leapfrog the traditional high-carbon industrialization trajectory and realize zero-carbon modernization,and thus carries significant theoretical and practical implications for global climate governance.