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青藏高原对极端天气气候影响:回顾与展望OA

Impact of the Tibetan Plateau on extreme weather and climate:review and outlook

中文摘要英文摘要

在全球变暖背景下,青藏高原增暖加速,极端高温、极端降水及其复合事件发生频率和强度显著变化,并通过热源异常、积雪-反照率反馈、高位涡系统及遥相关过程,对中国东部、南亚以及欧亚大陆中高纬地区的极端天气气候产生深远影响.文中系统回顾了近十年,尤其是近五年来关于青藏高原极端天气气候变化特征及其对周边和下游区域影响机制的研究进展,重点总结了极端气温与极端降水的变化特征,高原积雪与感热加热的气候效应,高原高位涡系统对下游极端事件的触发作用,以及青藏高原在不同纬度带相互作用中的"桥梁"角色.在此基础上,讨论了当前研究面临的主要科学问题与不足,并展望未来研究方向,旨在为深化青藏高原气候动力学认识、提升极端天气气候预测能力以及服务防灾减灾与生态安全提供参考.

Under the background of global warming,warming over the Tibetan Plateau has accelerated,with pronounced changes in the frequency and intensity of extreme high-temperature events,extreme precipitation events,and their compound occurrences.Through thermal anomalies,snow-albedo feedback,high potential vorticity systems,and teleconnection processes,the Tibetan Plateau exerts profound influences on extreme weather and climate over eastern China,South Asia,and the mid-to high-latitude regions of Eurasia.This paper systematically reviews research progress over the past decade(particularly the last five years)on the characteristics of extreme weather and climate changes over the Tibetan Plateau and the mechanisms by which they affect surrounding and downstream regions.Emphasis is placed on the evolution of extreme temperature and precipitation,the climatic effects of plateau snow cover and sensible heat heating,the triggering role of plateau high potential vorticity systems on downstream extreme events,as well as the"bridge"role of the Tibetan Plateau in interactions across different latitudes.On this basis,the major scientific issues and limitations in current research are discussed,and future research directions are outlined.This review aims to provide reference for deepening the understanding of Tibetan Plateau climate dynamics,improving the prediction of extreme weather and climate,and supporting disaster risk reduction and ecological security.

包文;马婷婷;刘艳婕;汤艺琼;段安民

中国环境科学研究院,北京 100012中国气象局气象干部培训学院,北京 100081中国科学院大气物理研究所,北京 100029中国气象局生态系统碳源汇重点开放实验室,无锡学院,无锡 214105厦门大学,厦门 361005

青藏高原影响热力和动力异常桥梁作用极端天气气候研究进展

Tibetan Plateau impactsThermal and dynamical anomaliesBridge roleExtreme weather and climateResearch progress

《气候变化研究进展》 2026 (3)

271-287,17

中央级公益性科研院所基本科研业务费专项(2025YSKY-49)生态环境标准预研究项目(BZY-2024-34)

10.12006/j.issn.1673-1719.2026.019

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