中澳林产品贸易竞争与互补关系研究OA

Forest products trade is an important component of China-Australia economic and trade relations.Based on UN Comtrade data from 2014 to 2023,this paper took wood and wood products(HS44)and six subcategories as the research objects,and systematically examined the overall characteristics,structural evolution,and competitive and complementary relationships of China-Australia forest products trade by using the Revealed Comparative Advantage Index(RCA),Trade Complementarity Index(CI),Trade Specialization Coefficient(TSC),Export Similarity Index(ESI),and Grubel-Lloyd Index(G-L).The results showed that:(1)The scale of China-Australia forest products trade experienced obvious phased fluctuations during the sample period,with China maintaining a long-term import-oriented position,and the trade structure showing significant asymmetry.Resource-based products such as logs were more sensitive to external shocks.(2)At the level of subcategories,China and Australia exhibited a clear pattern of dislocated division of labor.Australia's comparative advantages were mainly concentrated in upstream resource-based products such as logs and sawn timber,whereas China's advantages were mainly reflected in midstream and downstream processed products such as wood-based panels,wooden floors,and other wood products.(3)The export similarity between the two countries remained relatively low and the level of intra-industry trade was limited.In general,complementarity was stronger than competition,and bilateral trade was mainly characterized by vertical division of labor based on upstream-downstream industrial linkages.(4)Around 2020,quarantine restrictions,non-tariff barriers and changes in the external environment significantly affected the trade scale and the complementarity of some product categories,but did not fundamentally alter the basic pattern of separation between Australia's resource supply and China's processing and manufacturing.Policy implications:China should further stabilize economic and trade cooperation with Australia,while promoting diversification of timber import sources,improving domestic resource security capacity,upgrading forest products processing,and strengthening its ability to respond to green trade rules.