基于随机森林的制度同构与安全氛围对建设项目安全投资影响研究OA
Research on the impact of institutional isomorphism and safety climate on construction project safety investment based on Random Forest
建设项目安全投资不足是制约其安全水平提升的关键瓶颈.整合制度同构理论与安全氛围理论,构建"制度同构-安全氛围-安全投资"理论框架,基于 953 份有效问卷数据,运用相关性分析与随机森林机器学习模型开展实证研究.研究结果表明:安全氛围是影响安全投资行为的核心因素,组织与团队安全氛围合计贡献超过86.00%的解释力;制度同构总体直接影响较弱,但通过安全氛围产生显著中介效应,中介路径贡献达 21.80%,其中规范性与模仿性同构表现突出;随机森林模型 R2 值达0.814,优于传统线性分析方法,有效揭示了多变量间的非线性耦合关系.该研究不仅推进了机器学习在安全管理领域的应用,还阐明了"制度压力—文化响应—投资行为"的传导机制,为施工企业协同优化制度合规与文化建设、提升安全资源配置效能提供了理论支撑与实践指导.
Insufficient safety investment on construction projects hinders their safety performance.The present study therefore proposes a theoretical framework of"Institutional Isomorphism,Safety Climate and Safety Investment"by integrating the Institutional Isomorphism Theory and the Safety Climate The-ory.We employed correlation analysis and the random forest machine learning model on data from 953 valid questionnaires.Results demonstrate that safety climate serves as the core determinant of safety in-vestment behavior,with organizational and team safety climate jointly accounting for over 86.00%of the explanatory power.In contrast,institutional isomorphism exerts weak direct effect on safety invest-ment.However,it poses significant mediating effect via safety climate.Its mediating pathway contribu-ting 21.80%to the total impact,with normative isomorphism and mimetic isomorphism demonstrating notable effects.The present random forest model achieves an R2 value of 0.814,outperforming conven-tional linear analysis approaches in unraveling the complex nonlinear coupling relationships across mul-tiple variables.This study probes into the application of machine learning methods in construction safe-ty management and delineates the transmission mechanism underlying"institutional pressure,cultural response and investment behavior".It provides theoretical and practical implications for construction enterprises to synergistically optimize institutional compliance and cultivate safety cultures,enhancing the efficiency of safety resource allocation.
姜慧;张婧;徐孝昶;王艳;张兵
徐州工程学院土木工程学院,江苏 徐州 221000中国矿业大学(北京)力学与土木工程学院,北京 100083徐州工程学院土木工程学院,江苏 徐州 221000徐州工程学院土木工程学院,江苏 徐州 221000扬州大学土木与交通学院,江苏 扬州 225127
矿业与冶金
制度同构安全氛围建筑项目安全投资随机森林
institutional isomorphismsafety climateconstruction projectsafety investmentrandom forest
《矿业科学学报》 2026 (3)
686-694,9
江苏省社会科学基金(21GLD013)
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