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基于信息量和支持向量机耦合模型的滑坡地质灾害易发性评价OA

Landslide Geological Hazard Susceptibility Assessment Based on the Coupling Model of IV and SVM:A Case Study of Renhuai City

中文摘要英文摘要

[研究目的]开展区域滑坡易发性评价对支撑仁怀市防灾减灾与国土空间规划具有重要意义.[研究方法]以仁怀市为研究对象,首先采用皮尔逊相关系数进行变量筛选,结合容忍度(TOL)与方差膨胀因子(VIF)开展多重共线性诊断,最终确定地形坡度、坡向、高程、工程岩组、距地质构造距离、距水系距离、距道路距离、年均降雨量及归一化植被指数(NDVI)共 9 项因子作为滑坡易发性评价的核心指标.在此基础上,构建信息量(IV)与支持向量机(SVM)耦合模型(IV-SVM),依托 IV 模型在环境因子定量赋值中的物理可解释性优势,结合 SVM 处理非线性关系和高维数据的强大学习能力,开展三种模型(IV、SVM、IV-SVM)的滑坡易发性评价对比分析.[研究结果](1)三种模型(IV、SVM、IV-SVM)生成的易发性分布格局与历史滑坡点空间分布具有较高的空间一致性;(2)IV 模型与 SVM 模型的 AUC 值分别为 0.766 和 0.851,IV-SVM 耦合模型的 AUC 值达 0.881,较单一 IV 模型提升约 15%,判别能力显著提升.[结论]IV-SVM 耦合模型判别精度更高,更适用于仁怀市这类地质条件复杂、人为干扰强烈的区域,可精确识别滑坡高易发区,为区域国土空间规划、灾害风险防控及应急管理提供科学依据与技术支撑.

[Objective]Conducting regional landslide susceptibility assessment is of great significance for sup-porting disaster prevention and mitigation as well as territorial space planning in Renhuai City.[Methods]Ta-king Renhuai City as the research object,the Pearson correlation coefficient was first used for variable screening,and the tolerance(TOL)and variance inflation factor(VIF)were combined to conduct multico-llinearity diagnosis.Finally,nine factors including topographic slope,aspect,elevation,engineering rock group,distance to geological structure,distance to water system,distance to road,annual average rainfall,and normalized vegetation index(NDVI)were determined as the core indicators for landslide susceptibility evaluation.On this basis,a coupled model of information value(IV)and support vector machine(SVM)(IV-SVM)was constructed.Relying on the physical interpretability advantage of the IV model in the quantitative assignment of environmental factors,combined with the strong learning ability of SVM in handling nonlinear relationships and high-dimensional data,a comparative analysis of landslide susceptibility evaluation was conducted using three models(IV,SVM,and IV-SVM).[Results](1)The susceptibility distribution patterns generated by the three models(IV,SVM,and IV-SVM)have a high spatial consistency with the spatial distribution of historical landslide points;(2)The AUC values of the IV model and the SVM model are 0.766 and 0.851 respectively,The AUC value of the IV-SVM coupled model reached 0.881,which was approximately 15%higher than that of the single IV model,and the discrimination ability was significantly improved.[Conclusion]The IV-SVM coupled model has higher discrimination accuracy and is more suitable for regions with complex geological conditions and strong human interference,such as Renhuai City.It can accurately identify high-susceptibility areas for landslides and provide scientific basis and technical support for regional territorial spatial planning,disaster risk prevention and control,and emergency management.

杨毅;江攀和

贵州省地矿局 114 地质大队,贵州 遵义 563000贵州省地矿局一〇二地质大队,贵州 遵义 563000

天文与地球科学

滑坡信息量模型支持向量机模型易发性评价黔北

LandslideInformation Volume ModelSupport Vector Machine ModelSusceptibility EvaluationNorthern Guizhou

《华南地质》 2026 (3)

542-552,11

贵州省地质局地质科研项目(黔地质科合[2025]14号)

10.3969/j.issn.2097-0013.2026.03.014

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