基于双向时序差分记忆网络的批次过程质量预测方法OA
Batch process quality prediction method based on bidirectional temporal difference memory network
针对批次生产过程中质量指标非平稳特性难以捕捉、长时依赖建模精度不足的问题,本研究提出一种双向时序差分记忆网络(BiTDMN),融合局部动态特征提取与全局时序建模能力.通过滑动窗口重构三维批次数据,利用互信息筛选关键变量,结合正向-反向差分运算强化非平稳特征提取,并通过双向递归结构实现历史与未来信息的协同建模.引入增量信息在线更新机制,每 20 h 利用离线检测数据微调模型,抑制多步预测偏差累积.在工业青霉素发酵数据验证中,BiTDMN 的平均绝对误差(MAE)为 0.103,均方根误差(RMSE)为 0.131,决定系数(R2)达 0.972.长周期预测显示,其对浓度峰值的拟合误差大幅降低,多批次终点预测累计偏差减少 60%.在线更新策略使拐点时间预测几乎无误差,验证了模型在非平稳动态建模与实时校正中的有效性.该方法为精细化工、生物医药等批次过程的在线质量监控提供了高效解决方案.
To address the challenges of capturing non-stationary characteristics of quality indicators and insufficient long-term dependency modeling accuracy in batch production processes,this study proposes a Bidirectional Temporal Difference Memory Network(BiTDMN),which integrates local dynamic feature extraction and global temporal modeling capabilities.Three-dimensional batch data are reconstructed using sliding windows;key variables are selected via mutual information;non-stationary feature extraction is enhanced through forward-backward difference operations and a bidirectional recursive structure is employed to achieve collaborative modeling of historical and future information.An incremental online update mechanism is introduced to fine-tune the model every 20 hours using offline detection data,suppressing multi-step prediction bias accumulation.Validation on industrial penicillin fermentation data shows that BiDRNN achieves a mean absolute error(MAE)of 0.103,root mean square error(RMSE)of 0.131,and coefficient of determination(R2)of 0.972.Long-period prediction results demonstrate a significant reduction in fitting errors for concentration peaks,with a 60%reduction in cumulative deviation for multi-batch endpoint predictions.The online update strategy achieves near-zero error in inflection point time prediction,verifying the model's effectiveness in non-stationary dynamic modeling and real-time correction.This method provides an efficient solution for online quality monitoring in batch processes across industries such as fine chemicals and biopharmaceuticals.
李文亮;纪成;孙巍;翟持
昆明理工大学 化学工程学院,云南 昆明 650500北京化工大学 化工学院,北京 100029北京化工大学 化工学院,北京 100029昆明理工大学 化学工程学院,云南 昆明 650500
化学化工
批次过程质量预测双向时序差分记忆网络非平稳特征提取在线更新机制
batch processesquality predictionBiDRNNnon-stationary feature extractiononline update mechanism
《高校化学工程学报》 2026 (3)
521-533,13
云南省兴滇英才支持计划(KKRD202205037).
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