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大变局下的石油石化市场与油气资源重点领域前景OACHSSCD

Summary of the 2026 IPE Council Meeting and Petroleum Economic Information Exchange

中文摘要英文摘要

2026年4月23-24日,"2026年《国际石油经济》理事会会议暨石油经济信息交流会"在安徽芜湖召开.会议审议了2025年度期刊理事会工作,并围绕动荡地缘政治态势对石油市场的影响、"十五五"开局之年中国宏观经济形势等作了专题报告.核心观点如下:美以伊战事并未使全球格局进入颠覆性新阶段,整体秩序保持稳定;霍尔木兹海峡航运受阻事件警示我们,能源安全是发展底线,能源转型是破局关键.中国要实现2030年前GDP年均4.5%~5%这一积极务实的增长目标,需因地制宜不断发展新质生产力."十五五"时期石化行业转型机遇与挑战并存,需沿着重塑发展定位、深化结构调整、强化技术创新和推进数智赋能四大战略路径实现突破.煤岩气作为一种新类型非常规天然气,将有望成为中国天然气持续增长的重要战略接替资源.中国在海洋能源领域兼具资源潜力与发展动能,随着海洋强国、能源强国、深海工程等一系列国家战略的深入推进,中国海洋能源资源融合开发将迎来新的重大战略机遇.

On April 23–24,2026,the 2026 IPE Council Meeting and Petroleum Economic Information Exchange was held in Wuhu,Anhui Province.The meeting reviewed the work of the journal's council in 2025 and featured special reports on the impact of turbulent geopolitical conditions on the oil market and China's macroeconomic situation at the start of the 15th Five-Year Plan.The key takeaways include that the conflict involving the U.S.,Israel,and Iran has not ushered in a disruptive new phase for the global landscape,and the overall order remains stable,the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz serves as a warning that energy security is the bottom line for development and energy transition is the key to breaking the deadlock,and China's goal of achieving an average annual GDP growth rate of 4.5%to 5%by 2030 is both ambitious and pragmatic,requiring the continuous development of new quality productive forces tailored to local conditions.During the 15th Five-Year Plan period,the petrochemical industry faces both opportunities and challenges in its transition,requiring it to achieve breakthroughs through such four strategic pathways as reshaping development positioning,advancing structural optimization,strengthening technological innovation,and accelerating digital and intelligent empowerment.As a new type of unconventional natural gas,coal-rock gas will serve as a crucial strategic successor for sustaining China's natural gas growth.Since China possesses both resource potential and development momentum in the marine energy sector,the integrated development of China's marine energy resources will usher in new and significant strategic opportunities with the deepening implementation of a series of national strategies including the initiatives to build a maritime power and an energy powerhouse,and to advance deep-sea engineering.

王立敏

管理科学

石油市场石化市场国际地缘政治能源安全煤岩气海洋资源

oil marketpetrochemical marketinternational geopoliticsenergy securitycoal-rock gasmarine resources

《国际石油经济》 2026 (6)

25-32,8

10.3969/j.issn.1004-7298.2026.06.003

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