碳排市场与碳汇市场之间当量协同的决策优化OA
Decision Optimization for Equivalent Coordination Between Carbon Emission and Carbon Sink Markets
碳减排和碳增汇是支撑碳中和目标实现的关键措施,两类措施在物理层面相互耦合,而经济特性各异.碳排市场与碳汇市场是激励碳减排与碳增汇活动的两类关键碳市场工具,按各自的市场规则运营,又在多尺度上相互影响.为提升两类市场对碳中和目标的支撑作用,文中基于碳市场当量协同机制,提出一种基于闭环自适应逻辑的碳市场监管决策优化方法.该方法面向异质碳市场协同监管这一具有多决策变量、多跟踪目标的复杂时变非线性问题,通过多目标统一货币价值化、多决策变量分层解耦,以及决策参数自适应调整,实现了复杂性的纾解.以一条候选的中国碳中和目标路径为例,通过多场景的混合仿真,验证了该方法在提升目标路径跟踪效果上的有效性.研究结果表明,协同运用监管与市场手段,可有效支撑国家长期气候目标实现,为构建稳定高效的市场机制和监管策略提供了决策支撑.
Carbon emission reduction and carbon sink enhancement are key measures supporting the achievement of carbon neutrality goals.These two types of measures are coupled at the physical level but possess different economic characteristics.The carbon emission market and the carbon sink market are two key carbon market tools that incentivize carbon emission reduction and carbon sink enhancement activities.They operate according to their respective market rules while interacting with each other on multiple scales.To enhance the supporting role of both markets in achieving carbon neutrality goals,building upon the carbon market equivalent coordination mechanism,this paper proposes a regulatory decision optimization method based on closed-loop adaptive logic.This method targets the complex,time-varying,and non-linear problem of coordinated regulation for heterogeneous carbon markets,which involves multiple decision variables and tracking targets.It mitigates this complexity through the unified monetary valuation of multiple objectives,hierarchical decoupling of multiple decision variables,and adaptive adjustment of decision parameters.Taking a candidate path for China's carbon neutrality goal as an example,the effectiveness of this method in enhancing target path tracking is validated through multi-scenario hybrid simulation.The results show that the coordinated use of regulatory and market instruments can effectively support the achievement of national long-term climate goals,providing decision support for building stable and efficient market mechanisms and regulatory strategies.
张翼飞;薛禹胜;黄杰;薛峰
东南大学电气工程学院,江苏省南京市 210096||国网电力科学研究院有限公司(南瑞集团有限公司),江苏省南京市 211106东南大学电气工程学院,江苏省南京市 210096||国网电力科学研究院有限公司(南瑞集团有限公司),江苏省南京市 211106国网电力科学研究院有限公司(南瑞集团有限公司),江苏省南京市 211106国网电力科学研究院有限公司(南瑞集团有限公司),江苏省南京市 211106
信息-物理-社会系统碳市场碳减排碳增汇当量协同解耦
cyber-physical-social systemcarbon marketcarbon emission reductioncarbon sink enhancementequivalent coordinationdecoupling scenario
《电力系统自动化》 2026 (12)
31-43,13
国家电网有限公司科技项目(5100-202440411A-3-5-YS). This work is supported by State Grid Corporation of China(No.5100-202440411A-3-5-YS).
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