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基于模糊层次分析的房山区五丰沟泥石流危险性评价OA

Risk assessment of debris flow in Wufenggou,Fangshan District based on fuzzy analytic hierarchy process

中文摘要英文摘要

房山区五丰沟因2023年7月强降雨诱发多处滑坡、崩塌灾害,导致沟道内大量松散物堆积,叠加人类活动影响,泥石流风险显著增加,严重威胁下游居民生命财产安全.文章以房山区五丰沟泥石流为研究对象,在野外实地调查的基础上,综合考虑研究区地质背景、泥石流形成条件和发育特征等,从地质、地形地貌、水动力条件等方面选取9个指标建立评价体系,使用模糊层次分析法对房山区五丰沟泥石流危险性进行评价.结果表明:房山区五丰沟泥石流达到高度危险状态,其结果与实地调查情况一致.研究结果可为房山区五丰沟泥石流防灾减灾提供科学依据.

In July 2023,heavy rainfall triggered multiple landslides and collapses in Wufeng Gully,Fangshan District,leading to a substantial accumulation of loose material in the gully.Combined with the effects of human activity,this has significantly elevated the debris flow risk,posing a serious threat to downstream residents and infrastructure.This study focuses on the Wufeng Gully debris flow.Based on field investigations and an analysis of the regional geological background,formation conditions,and developmental characteristics,a nine-indicator evaluation system was established,encompassing geological,topographic,and hydrodynamic factors.The fuzzy analytic hierarchy process(FAHP)was used to evaluate the debris flow hazard.The results indicate that the debris flow in Wufeng Gully has reached a highly dangerous state,a finding consistent with field observations.This study provides a scientific basis for disaster prevention and mitigation strategies in the area.

李晓婷;刘文龙;张园园;王强;王鹏飞;刘永刚

北京市工程地质研究所,北京 100048北京市地质工程勘察院有限责任公司,北京 100048北京市工程地质研究所,北京 100048北京市地质工程勘察院有限责任公司,北京 100048北京市工程地质研究所,北京 100048北京市工程地质研究所,北京 100048

泥石流危险性评价:层次分析法模糊综合评判法

debris flowhazard assessmentanalytic hierarchy processfuzzy comprehensive evaluation method

《城市地质》 2026 (2)

219-224,6

京津冀协同发展交通网络地质安全监测预警系统(北京部分)运行项目(11000023T000002063541)资助

10.3969/j.issn.2097-3764.2026.02.010

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