首页|期刊导航|滨州医学院学报|贝伐珠单抗治疗非小细胞肺癌疗效预测模型的构建及验证

贝伐珠单抗治疗非小细胞肺癌疗效预测模型的构建及验证OA

Construction and verification of the prediction model for curative effect of bevacizumab in non-small cell lung cancer

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 基于血管内皮生长因子A(vascular endothelial growth factor A,VEGFA)、细胞黏附因子(cell adhesion mole-cules,CAMS)、细胞角蛋白 19 片段抗原(cytokeratin 19 Fragment Antigen,Cyfra21-1)和谷胱甘肽 S 转移酶 P1(glutathione S-transferase P1,GSTP1)基因多态性等临床指征,建立并验证贝伐珠单抗(bevacizumab,BEV)治疗非小细胞肺癌(non-small cell lung cancer,NSCLC)的疗效预测模型.方法 选择接受BEV联合紫杉醇+顺铂化疗的103例NSCLC患者,随访1年后根据疗效分为有效组和无效组,收集其临床资料,检测VEGFA、CAMS、Cyfra21-1和GSTP1基因多态性,筛选BEV治疗NSCLC的预测因素,建立基于临床资料和基因多态性的列线图预测模型,并通过ROC曲线验证其临床价值.结果 两组患者在年龄、TNM分期、治疗线数及基因型构成比方面存在显著差异(P<0.05).二元Logistic回归分析显示,TNM分期、VEGFA rs699947 基因、CAMs rs1799969 基因、Cyfra21-1 rs17561 基因和 GSTP1 rs1695 基因是 BEV 治疗 NSCLC 效果的独立影响因素(均P<0.05).基于这5个独立预测因子建立的列线图预测模型显示校准度良好(x2=1.593,P=0.114),其疗效预测准确性高,AUC为0.930.结论 BEV治疗NSCLC患者的短期疗效与TNM分期及多个基因高度相关,据此建立的列线图预测模型能准确判断近期疗效.

Objective To develop and validate a predictive model for bevacizumab efficacy in non-small cell lung cancer(NSCLC)treatment,incorporating clinical biomarkers including vascular endothelial growth factor A(VEGFA),cell adhesion molecules(CAMS),cytokeratin 19 fragment antigen(Cyfra21-1),and glutathione S-transferase P1(GSTP1)gene.Methods This study enrolled 103 NSCLC patients treated with BEV combined with paclitaxel and cisplatin chemotherapy.After one-year follow-up,patients were categorized into responders and non-responders based on treatment efficacy.Clinical indicators were collected,and VEGFA,CAMS,Cyfra21-1,and GSTP1 gene polymorphisms were analyzed to identify predictive factors for BEV treatment in NSCLC.A nomogram model integrating clinical data and genetic polymorphisms was developed to validate its clinical value through ROC analysis.Results Patients in the effective and ineffective groups showed significant differences in age,TNM stage,number of treatment lines,and genotype composition(P<0.05).Binary logistic regression analysis revealed that TNM stage,VEGFA rs699947 gene,CAMs rs1799969 gene,Cyfra21-1 rs17561 gene and GSTP1 rs1 695 gene were independent factors influencing the efficacy of BEV therapy for NSCLC(P<0.05).The nomogram model developed based on these five independent predictors demonstrated excellent calibration(x2=1.593,P=0.114),with high accuracy in predicting treatment outcomes,a-chieving an AUC of 0.930.Conclusion The short-term efficacy of BEV in treating NSCLC patients is strongly associated with TNM staging and multiple genetic factors.Therefore,the nomogram predictive model developed can accurately assess short-term therapeutic outcomes.

王占青;姜银松;顾华;董鑫;郝亮;史力;唐健;尹荣江

山东医药大学烟台附属医院急诊科 山东烟台 264100山东医药大学烟台附属医院急诊科 山东烟台 264100山东医药大学烟台附属医院胸外科 山东烟台 264100山东医药大学烟台附属医院肿瘤中心 山东烟台 264100山东医药大学烟台附属医院肿瘤中心 山东烟台 264100山东医药大学烟台附属医院超声科 山东烟台 264100山东医药大学烟台附属医院胸外科 山东烟台 264100山东医药大学烟台附属医院胸外科 山东烟台 264100

医药卫生

非小细胞肺癌贝伐珠单抗基因多态性列线图预测模型

non-small cell lung cancerbevacizumabgene polymorphismnomogram prediction model

《滨州医学院学报》 2026 (3)

262-267,6

山东省医学会科研专项资金项目(YXH2022ZX02033)山东省医药卫生科技计划(202404021015)烟台市科技计划(2024YD007),(2024YD008)山东省医务职工科技创新计划联合立项项目(SDYWZGKCJHLH202421)

10.19739/j.cnki.issn1001-9510.2026.03.007

评论