考虑旅客选择行为的航班供需适配优化研究OA
Study of flight supply-demand alignment optimization considering passenger choice behavior
针对缓解航班供给与旅客需求的错配问题,提出了一种考虑旅客选择行为的航班供需适配优化模型.基于519份有效选择实验数据,采用多项Logit(Multinomial Logit,MNL)模型刻画了商务旅客与休闲旅客在时刻选择、票价、机型和飞行时长等因素中的异质性偏好,并将这些偏好转化为时隙层面的差异化航班需求,以精确反映市场对航班供给的行为响应.首先,结合航班时刻、机型配置、飞机维修等多重约束,构建一个双目标优化模型,旨在优化航班时刻分配与机型配置,减少市场需求满足偏差与运营成本.其次,为求解该模型,采用贪婪-遗传混合算法,结合遗传算法的全局搜索能力与贪婪策略的局部修复和优化能力,确保优化过程的高效性与解的质量.最后,以A航空公司某周航班计划的实例进行分析.研究结果表明:优化方案能够显著改善航班供需匹配,减少34.3%的市场需求满足偏差,并降低12.1%的运营成本;优化后的航班资源利用率提高,特别是在高需求时段,航班计划对旅客需求的承接能力得到明显改善;优化模型充分考虑了航班时刻、机型与旅客需求之间的关系,确保了航班计划的经济性和可操作性.结合旅客选择行为的航班供需适配优化模型在提升航班资源的使用效率和市场响应能力方面具有重要应用价值.
To alleviate the mismatch between flight supply and passenger demand,this paper proposes an optimization model for flight supply-demand alignment that incorporates passenger choice behavior.Based on 519 valid choice experiment observations,a Multinomial Logit(MNL)model is employed to characterize the heterogeneous preferences of business and leisure passengers regarding departure time,ticket price,aircraft type,and flight durations.These preferences are translated into differenti-ated flight demands at the time-slot level to accurately reflect the market's behavioral responses to flight supply.First,considering multiple constraints such as flight schedule,aircraft assignment,and aircraft maintenance,a bi-objective optimization model is constructed.This model aims to optimize flight schedule allocations and aircraft assignments to minimize both the deviation in market demand fulfillment and operational costs.Second,a hybrid Greedy-Genetic Algorithm(GGA)is adopted to solve the model.By combining the global search capability of a Genetic Algorithm(GA)with the local repair and optimization abilities of a greedy strategy,this approach ensures optimization efficiency and high solution quality.Finally,a case study based on a one-week flight schedule from Airline A is con-ducted.The results indicate that the optimization scheme significantly improves the match between flight supply and demand,reducing the deviation in market demand fulfillment by 34.3%and lowering operational costs by 12.1%.Furthermore,flight resource utilization is enhanced,and the flight plan's capacity to accommodate passenger demand is notably improved,particularly during high-demand pe-riods.By comprehensively accounting for the relationships among flight schedules,aircraft types,and passenger demand,the optimization model ensures both the economic viability and operational feasibil-ity of the flight plan.Overall,the proposed optimization model,which integrates passenger choice be-havior,holds substantial application value for enhancing the utilization efficiency of flight resources and market responsiveness.
李艳华;赵柯焱;周志青;阳杰;张世悦
北京交通大学 交通运输学院,北京 100044北京交通大学 交通运输学院,北京 100044中国航空器材集团有限公司,北京 101312北京交通大学 交通运输学院,北京 100044北京交通大学 交通运输学院,北京 100044
交通工程
航空运输航班供需适配旅客选择行为多项Logit模型一体化航班计划
air transportationflight supply-demand alignmentpassenger choice behaviorMultino-mial Logit(MNL)modelintegrated flight planning
《北京交通大学学报》 2026 (3)
1-12,12
国家自然科学基金(U2333206) National Natural Science Foundation of China(U2333206)
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