基于等体积法的暴雨淹没快速模拟分析及应用OA
Rapid Simulation,Analysis,and Application of Storm-Induced Inundation Based on the Equal Volume Method
暴雨淹没计算是城市防洪防涝的重要依据.变化环境下产汇流规律发生变化,对暴雨淹没的时效性要求增加.在数据资料和计算资源有限的条件下,研发了一种基于等体积法的暴雨淹没快速模拟模型.通过汇流网络制作、基于VIC(Variable Infiltration Capacity Model,VIC)模型的产流计算和快速淹没计算3个模块,实现了低成本、高效率的暴雨淹没快速模拟.以南宁市青秀区为例开展暴雨淹没快速模拟,结果表明:提出的高分辨率简化模型在城市内涝模拟场景下,比大尺度水动力模型CaMa-Flood更具适用性和优势,模型命中率为91%,模拟时长比CaMa-Flood模型快23倍;体积阈值不同导致模型节点数量存在差异,随着体积阈值的增大,研究区下游淹没水位将会上升,模拟淹没空间分布受体积阈值影响显著;模型模拟准确率和模拟时长均受体积阈值的影响,随着体积阈值的增加,模型运行速度加快,但运算准确率却会降低,汇流节点的增加有助于模型性能的提升.研究所构建暴雨淹没快速模拟的简化模型,利用更低的计算成本模拟暴雨淹没,并以更高效的计算效率捕捉淹没过程的空间依赖关系,可为城市防洪减灾提供新思路.
The calculation of storm-induced inundation serves as a critical foundation for urban flood prevention and disaster mitigation.Under changing environmental conditions,the patterns of runoff generation and flow concentration are altering,thereby increasing the demand for timely simulation of storm-induced inundation.Given constraints in data availability and computational resources,this study developed a rapid simulation model for storm-induced inundation based on the equal volume method.The model operated through three modules:① High-resolution DEM data were employed to identify sub-basins,confluence nodes,and downstream flow paths within the watershed.By considering the presence of small depressions in the original DEM,selective filling was performed by applying volume and/or depth thresholds.The filtered depressions were designated as potential inundation areas.Ultimately,a regional drainage network was generated,comprising the delineated sub-basins,downstream flow paths,and confluence nodes.② The variable infiltration capacity(VIC)hydrological model was implemented to simulate both the water balance and energy balance within the hydrological cycle.This model integrated factors such as soil properties,vegetation characteristics,and meteorological data(e.g.,precipitation,temperature,and wind speed)to compute key hydrological fluxes on the land surface,including runoff and evapotranspiration.③ The equal volume method was applied to calculate the final accumulated water volume(VW)within each sub-basin.This volume was subsequently compared against the maximum storage capacity(VD)of the depression in that sub-basin.If VW exceeded VD,the surplus flow was routed along the predetermined flow path to the downstream sub-basin depression.Conversely,if VW was less than or equal to VD,water was retained within the current sub-basin depression.Upon completion of these computations for the entire watershed,the final storm-induced inundation areas and corresponding water depths were identified.A case study in the Qingxiu District of Nanning City demonstrates that the proposed model outperforms the CaMa-Flood model in both simulation performance and computational time.The model achieves a probability of detection(POD)of 91%and computes results 23 times faster than the CaMa-Flood model.Furthermore,the study reveals that the volume threshold significantly influences model outcomes.Variations in the volume threshold lead to differences in the number of model nodes.As the threshold increases,the inundation water level in the downstream areas of the study site rises,and the spatial distribution of simulated inundation is markedly affected.Both simulation accuracy and computational duration are influenced by the volume threshold.Specifically,increasing the threshold accelerates model execution but reduces computational accuracy.An increase in the number of confluence nodes,however,contributes to enhanced model performance.The simplified model developed in this study simulates storm-induced inundation at a lower computational cost and captures the spatial dependencies of the inundation process with higher efficiency,offering a novel approach for urban flood prevention and mitigation.
王磊;钟鸣
电力大数据灾害监测预警应急管理部重点实验室(国网湖南省电力有限公司防灾减灾中心),湖南 长沙 410100中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广东 广州 510275
建筑与水利
VIC淹没模拟等体积法体积阈值南宁市青秀区
VICinundation simulationequal volume methodvolume thresholdQingxiu District,Nanning City
《人民珠江》 2026 (5)
1-10,10
电力大数据灾害监测预警应急管理部重点实验室开放课题(SGHNFZ00FBJS2400130)
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