基于贝叶斯网络的数据跨境流动风险识别与评估OACHSSCD
Risk Identification and Assessment of Cross-border Data Flow Based on Bayesian Network
为减少电动汽车产业数据跨境流动风险,本文识别关键风险因素,构建贝叶斯网络模型进行风险评估.在收集数据跨境流动违规处罚案例和文献调研的基础上,基于扎根理论进行电动汽车数据跨境流动安全风险因素识别,提炼出 15 个主要风险因素,然后运用解释结构模型将风险因素处理为 5 个不同层级,并将层次结构图转化为贝叶斯网络;根据所构建的贝叶斯网络,将所收集数据导入 GeNIe,对贝叶斯网络模型进行参数学习,得到电动汽车数据跨境流动风险不同等级的概率分布;对贝叶斯网络模型进行诊断性分析、敏感性分析、最大致因链分析,明确导致电动汽车数据跨境流动风险的关键因素和敏感因素,依据分析结果提出风险防控建议,为数据跨境流动风险管理提供了科学有效的理论依据和控制工具.
To reduce the risks associated with cross-border data flows in the electric vehicle industry,this study identifies key risk factors and develops a Bayesian network model for risk assessment.Based on collected cases of cross-border data violations and a review of relevant literature,grounded theory was applied to identify risk factors related to cross-border data flows in the elec-tric vehicle sector,resulting in the extraction of fifteen major risk factors.An Interpretive Structural Model(ISM)was then em-ployed to organize these factors into five hierarchical levels,and the resulting hierarchical structure was further transformed into a Bayesian network structure.Using the constructed Bayesian network,the collected data were input into the GeNIe software for pa-rameter learning,and the probability distribution of different risk levels for cross-border data flows in the electric vehicle industry was obtained.Subsequently,diagnostic analysis,sensitivity analysis,and maximum causal chain analysis were conducted based on the Bayesian network model to identify the key and sensitive factors leading to cross-border data flow risks.Based on the analysis results,corresponding risk prevention and control strategies were proposed,providing a scientific basis and analytical tool for cross-border data risk management in the electric vehicle industry.
熊励;马闻婧
上海大学管理学院,上海 200444上海大学管理学院,上海 200444
管理科学
电动汽车产业数据跨境流动数据安全风险评估扎根理论贝叶斯网络风险因素识别解释结构模型风险传导路径
electric vehicle industrycross-border data flowdata security risk assessmentgrounded theorybayesian networkidentification of risk factorsInterpretive Structural Modelrisk transmission path
《工业技术经济》 2026 (7)
55-69,15
国家社会科学基金后期资助项目"数据和模型驱动的跨境电商与数据流动发展及安全研究"(项目编号:24FGLB114).
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