首页|期刊导航|当代金融研究|巨灾风险证券化:核心障碍、国际经验及路径设计

巨灾风险证券化:核心障碍、国际经验及路径设计OA

Catastrophe Risk Securitization:Core Obstacles,International Experience,and Pathway Design

中文摘要英文摘要

中国是全球自然灾害最为严重的国家之一,传统保险体系在应对巨灾风险时存在明显承保能力缺口.巨灾风险证券化是转移风险、拓宽融资渠道的有效金融工具,然而其在中国的发展相对滞后.为探究其深层原因,系统剖析制约其发展的核心障碍,主要包括:定价模型本土化不足、市场认知有限、制度框架不明确以及基础数据匮乏.基于对美国、日本、墨西哥等国家成熟经验的比较分析,总结出清晰监管、专业服务与投资者教育的关键启示.结合中国实际,设计一支以台风风险为标的、采用混合触发机制的巨灾债券,并阐述其定价逻辑.最终,提出一个包含"监管沙盒试点""市场生态培育"和"全面深化发展"三阶段的系统性路径,旨在为中国构建多层次巨灾风险分散体系、增强社会经济韧性提供可行性方案.

China is one of the countries most severely affected by natural disasters globally,and its traditional insurance system exhibits a significant umderwriting ca-pacity gaps in coping with catastrophe risks.Catastrophe risk securitization serves as an effective financial instrument for transferring risks and broadening financing channels;however,its development in China has been slow.To investigate the un-derlying reasons,this paper systematically analyzes the core obstacles constraining its development,which primarily include:insufficient localization of pricing models,limited market awareness,an unclear institutional framework,and a deficient foun-dational data infrastructure.Based on a comparative studies of mature practices in countries such as the United States,Japan,and Mexico,key insights are summa-rized,highlighting the importance of clear regulation,professional services,and in-vestor education.Tailored to China's context,a catastrophe bond targeting typhoon risk and employing a hybrid trigger mechanism is designed,with its pricing logic e-laborated.Finally,a systematic three-phase pathway is proposed,encompassing"regulatory sandbox pilots,""market ecosystem cultivation,"and"comprehensive and in-depth development."This pathway aims to provide a feasible plan for China to construct a multi-layered catastrophe risk dispersion system and enhance socio-e-conomic resilience.

陈一洪

泉州银行董事会办公室,福建泉州 362000

管理科学

巨灾风险证券化巨灾债券风险定价风险转移国际经验

Catastrophe Risk SecuritizationCatastrophe BondRisk PricingRisk TransferInternational Experience

《当代金融研究》 2026 (3)

16-31,16

10.20092/j.cnki.ddjryj.2026.03.002

评论