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基于机器学习的黔北铝土矿石小体重回归模型研究OA

Regression Model for Small Volumetric Weight of Bauxite Ore in Northern Guizhou Based on Machine Learning

中文摘要英文摘要

矿石小体重是估算铝土矿资源储量的一项重要参数.黔北地区传统的铝土矿石小体重测量包括采样、加工、测试等环节,通常因项目分阶段实施而耗时长,过程繁琐.基于以往勘查积累的矿石小体重、Al2O3、SiO2、Fe2O3分析测试数据,本文提出了一种可解释的基于随机森林算法(RF)的铝土矿石小体重回归模型,合成少数类过采样技术(SMOTE)可以有效解决某些类别数据太少的问题,使模型能够更好地拟合这些数据.沙普利可加性解释方法(SHAP)为解释RF回归模型提供了统一性度量,增强了模型可解释性.SHAP分析表明,SiO2对铝土矿石小体重的贡献最大.多元线性回归(MLR)模型在测试集上的均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)分别为0.1296和0.0974,而RF回归模型上的RMSE和MAE为0.0917和0.0672,表明RF回归模型更稳定、性能更优.此外,RF回归模型在验证集(新木-晏溪矿床)上的预测平均值(2.87 g/cm3)与矿床采用值(2.82 g/cm3)误差0.05 g/cm3,误差率仅1.8%,表现出较高的预测精度.综上,表明RF回归模型可用于黔北地区铝土矿勘查的矿石小体重估算.

Small volumetric weight is an important parameter for estimating bauxite resource reserves and is of great significance for bauxite exploration.In northern Guizhou,the traditional measurement of small volumetric weight of bauxite ores involves sampling,processing and testing,which is often time-consuming and cumbersome due to the phased implementation of projects.Based on previously accumulated analytical test data of small volumetric weight of ore,Al2O3,SiO2,and Fe2O3,this paper proposes an interpretable regression model for small volumetric weight of bauxite ore based on the Random Forest(RF)algorithm.The Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique(SMOTE)can effectively address the issue of too few data in certain categories,enabling the model to better fit these data.The Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP)method provides a unified measure for interpreting the RF regression model and enhances model interpretability.SHAP analysis indicates that SiO2 contributes the most to the small volumetric weight of bauxite ores.The Multiple Linear Regression(MLR)model achieves a Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Absolute Error(MAE)of 0.1296 and 0.0974 on the test set,respectively,while the RF regression model achieves an RMSE and MAE of 0.0917 and 0.0672,respectively.The comparative results demonstrate that the RF regression model is more stable and performs better.Furthermore,the predicted average value(2.87 g/cm3)of the RF regression model on the validation set(the Xinmu-Yanxi deposit)differs from the adopted value of the deposit(2.82 g/cm3)by 0.05 g/cm3,with an error rate of only 1.8%,indicating high prediction accuracy.This suggests that the RF regression model can be used for estimating small volumetric weight of bauxite ores in bauxite exploration in northern Guizhou.

梁小糠;孙国涛;石再平;杨仕江;蔡小勤;李金玉;吴显飞

贵州大学省部共建公共大数据国家重点实验室,贵州 贵阳 550025||贵州省有色金属和核工业地质勘查局三总队,贵州 遵义 563000贵州大学省部共建公共大数据国家重点实验室,贵州 贵阳 550025||贵州大学资源与环境工程学院,贵州 贵阳 550025贵州省有色金属和核工业地质勘查局三总队,贵州 遵义 563000贵州省有色金属和核工业地质勘查局三总队,贵州 遵义 563000贵州省有色金属和核工业地质勘查局三总队,贵州 遵义 563000贵州省有色金属和核工业地质勘查局三总队,贵州 遵义 563000贵州省有色金属和核工业地质勘查局三总队,贵州 遵义 563000

天文与地球科学

铝土矿小体重多元线性回归随机森林合成少数类过采样技术(SMOTE)沙普利可加性解释方法(SHAP)黔北

bauxitesmall volumetric weightmultiple linear regression(MLR)random forest(RF)Synthetic Minority Over-sampling Technique(SMOTE)Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP)northern Guizhou Province

《地质与勘探》 2026 (3)

613-623,11

贵州省基础研究计划一般项目(编号:黔科合基础-ZK[2023]一般064)资助.

10.12134/j.dzykt.2026.03.014

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