首页|期刊导航|东北电力技术|基于CNN-LSTM混合神经网络的中期电力负荷预测方法

基于CNN-LSTM混合神经网络的中期电力负荷预测方法OA

CNN-LSTM-Based Hybrid Neural Network for Medium-Term Electric Load Forecasting

中文摘要英文摘要

中期电力负荷预测是电力系统规划和调度中的关键任务,能够有效提高电力系统的运行效率和经济效益.由于电力负荷具有时间依赖性和易受多因素影响的特点,高精度的负荷预测具有挑战性.为了解决这一问题,提出了一种基于卷积神经网络(convolutional neural network,CNN)与长短期记忆网络(long short term memory,LSTM)相结合的中期电力负荷预测模型.该模型利用CNN 的关键特征提取能力,结合LSTM 处理时间序列数据的优势,能够有效捕捉负荷数据中的时空依赖关系.此外,通过贝叶斯超参数调优进一步调整模型超参数,提高预测精度.试验结果表明,所提模型在多个实际变压器数据集上的预测性能优于传统方法,具有更高的准确率和鲁棒性.

Medium-term electric load forecasting is a critical task in power system planning and scheduling,enhancing the operational efficiency and economic performance of power systems.However,due to the time dependence of electric load and the influence of multiple factors,achieving accurate load forecasting is challenging.To address this issue,it proposes a medium-term electric load forecasting model based on the combination of convolutional neural networks(CNN)and long short-term memory networks(LSTM).The model leverages the feature extraction capabilities of CNN and the advantages of LSTM in handling time series data,capturing the spatiotemporal dependencies in load data.Additionally,it employs Bayesian hyperparameter tuning to further optimize the model's hy-perparameters,improving prediction accuracy.Experimental results show that the proposed model outperforms traditional methods on multiple real-world transformer datasets,offering higher accuracy and robustness.

刘硕;丁宇昂;赵梓焱

国网辽宁省电力有限公司沈阳供电公司,辽宁 沈阳 110172东北大学信息科学与工程学院,辽宁 沈阳 110006东北大学信息科学与工程学院,辽宁 沈阳 110006

信息技术与安全科学

电力负荷预测深度学习CNNLSTM

electric load forecastingdeep learningCNNLSTM

《东北电力技术》 2026 (6)

1-6,27,7

国家自然科学基金项目(62203093)辽宁省科技计划联合计划(基金)项目(2023-MSBA-074)

评论