中国洪水保险制度发展与对策建议OA
Development and policy recommendations of China's flood insurance system
洪涝灾害是我国最突出的自然灾害之一,随着气候变化和经济社会的快速发展,近几十年来我国洪涝灾害造成的直接经济损失呈上升趋势.洪水保险具有风险转移、风险减量和风险治理三项核心功能,是完善我国洪水风险管理体系的重要非工程措施之一.新中国成立以来,我国洪水保险制度发展经历了行政主导、初步探索、间接发展、多元试点和加快推广五个阶段,当前已初步构建包含政府投保、政府补贴与纯市场投保三种模式的洪水保险体系.然而,在近年特大洪涝灾害中,我国保险总赔付覆盖直接经济总损失的比例仅约10%,呈现"产品类型丰富、保障程度不足"的特征.建议进一步完善洪水保险风险分散机制,依托更大空间范围和资本市场分散洪水风险;提高洪涝灾害损失评估水平,健全基础数据库与共享机制,科学量化气候变化与人类活动对洪灾损失的影响;突出洪水保险风险治理功能,加强洪水保险在促进洪水高风险区经济社会高质量发展和优化防洪调度中的作用.
Flood disasters are among the most prominent natural disasters in China.With climate change and rapid socio-economic development,direct economic losses caused by flood disasters in China have shown an upward trend in recent decades.As a crucial non-structural measure for improving the national flood risk management system,flood insurance serves three core functions:risk transfer,risk reduction,and risk governance.Since the founding of the People's Republic of China,the development of China's flood insurance system has progressed through five stages:government-led administration,initial exploration,indirect development,diversified piloting,and accelerated promotion.Currently,China has initially established a flood insurance system comprising government-purchased,government-subsidized,and purely market-driven modes.However,during recent severe flood events,total insurance payouts cover only about 10%of direct economic losses,presenting a characteristic of"abundant product types but insufficient protection adequacy".Therefore,it is recommended that China further refine its flood insurance risk diversification mechanisms by leveraging broader spatial scopes and capital markets to spread flood risk;enhance the level of flood disaster loss assessment,establish fundamental databases and sharing mechanisms,and scientifically quantify the impacts of climate change and human activities on flood losses;it is also necessary to emphasize the risk governance function of flood insurance and strengthen its role in promoting the high-quality socio-economic development of high-risk flood areas and in optimizing flood operation.
崔世博;张东;赵建世;王燕云;杜晓鹤;张云霞;周旭东;刘臻晨;王潇潇;张安宇
清华大学水利水电工程系,100084,北京中再巨灾风险管理股份有限公司,100081,北京清华大学水利水电工程系,100084,北京中国水利水电科学研究院,100038,北京||水利部防洪抗旱减灾技术创新中心(水旱灾害防御中心),100038,北京中国水利水电科学研究院,100038,北京||水利部防洪抗旱减灾技术创新中心(水旱灾害防御中心),100038,北京应急管理部国家减灾中心,100124,北京宁波大学水利与海洋工程研究院,315211,宁波河海大学水文水资源学院,210024,南京中再巨灾风险管理股份有限公司,100081,北京中再巨灾风险管理股份有限公司,100081,北京
建筑与水利
洪涝灾害洪水保险防洪非工程措施风险转移风险减量风险治理
flood disasterflood insurancenon-structural measure for flood preventionrisk transferrisk reductionrisk governance
《中国水利》 2026 (11)
57-64,8
国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFF0804901)国家自然科学基金项目(52539001).
评论