高影响天气对并网光伏电站开发全过程的影响研究进展OA
Review of the Impacts of High-Impact Weather on the Entire Development Process of Grid-Connected Photovoltaic Power Plants
在全球推进碳中和目标背景下,以光伏发电为代表的新能源将逐步由辅助能源转变成主力能源.近年来极端天气事件频发,同时我国光伏电站建设规模快速扩张,导致光伏电站因气象灾害受损的事件日益凸显.深入揭示极端天气对光伏电站开发过程中的影响机理,有助于及时采取有效防控措施,确保光伏电站开发及运营的健康安全发展.通过梳理相关文献,将影响光伏电站开发的高影响天气分为极端天气和不良天气两大类,归纳总结了各种高影响天气对光伏电站开发不同阶段的影响.结果表明:规划设计阶段,需识别并评估高影响天气风险,科学选址和参数设计;施工建设阶段,暴雨导致桩基不稳、水土流失,大风影响起重作业,海雾雷电影响施工安全等;生产运营阶段,高影响天气可能破坏光伏组件设施,降低光伏发电功率,导致光伏出力剧烈波动,甚至可能威胁电网安全.最后,提出了应对高影响天气的措施,包括提升极端天气风险评估和模拟技术,加强应急管理和高影响天气的监测预警,考虑高影响天气对光伏发电功率预测的影响等.
Against the backdrop of global efforts to achieve carbon neutrality,renewable energy,represented by photovoltaic(PV)power generation,is transitioning from a supplementary to a primary energy source.In recent years,the rapid expansion of PV power plants,coupled with the growing frequency of extreme weather events,has led to a notable increase in weather-related failures and damage incidents at PV installations.A thorough understanding of the mechanisms through which extreme weather affects PV power plants across their entire life cycle is therefore crucial for implementing timely and effective prevention and control measures,ensuring the healthy and secure development of the PV industry.Through a comprehensive review of the literature,this paper classifies high-impact weather relevant to PV power plant development into two broad categories:extreme weather and adverse weather.It then summarizes the impacts of various high-impact weather events on the planning and design,construction,and operational stages of PV power plants.The findings indicate that during the planning and design stage,it is essential to identify and assess high-impact weather risks to inform scientific site selection and system parameter design.During construction,heavy rain can cause pile foundation instability and soil erosion;strong winds may hinder lifting operations;and sea fog or lightning poses risks to on-site safety.During operation,high-impact weather can damage PV components,reduce power output,induce severe output fluctuations,and even threaten grid stability.Finally,countermeasures are proposed,which include:enhancing risk assessment and modeling techniques for extreme weather;strengthening emergency management as well as monitoring and early-warning systems for high-impact weather;and incorporating high-impact weather considerations into PV power forecasting models.
孟丹;陈正洪;许杨
湖北省气象服务中心,湖北 武汉 430205湖北省气象服务中心,湖北 武汉 430205湖北省气象服务中心,湖北 武汉 430205
天文与地球科学
光伏电站高影响天气极端天气光伏出力影响评估
photovoltaic power plantshigh-impact weatherextreme weatherpower output fluctuationimpact assessment
《沙漠与绿洲气象》 2026 (3)
20-30,11
中国气象局气象能力提升联合研究专项(24NLTSQ017)中国气象局气候资源经济转化重点开放实验室开放课题(2025004K)湖北省气象局科研项目(2023Y08)
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