山东省农业转移人口市民化规划实施效果研究OA
Research on the implementation effects of the citizenization planning for agricultural transfer population in Shandong Province
农业转移人口市民化是新型城镇化的重要内容.文章基于 2013-2018 年中国流动人口动态监测数据,运用双重差分模型,从省市两个层级对山东省市民化规划实施效果进行评估.结果表明:市民化规划显著提高山东省农业转移人口市民化水平,在控制相关变量后,结果仍然稳定;市民化规划对 100 万~300 万人大城市农业转移人口市民化水平的提升有显著作用;300 万人以上的城市市民化规划需聚焦主要矛盾与瓶颈,强化规划针对性,100 万人以下中小城市的市民化规划需坚持需求导向精准施策,避免资源浪费.
The citizenization of the agricultural transfer population is a core component of new-type urbanization.This paper,based on the China Migrants Dynamic Survey(CMDS)data from 2013 to 2018,employs a difference-in-differences model to assess the implementation effects of citizenization planning in Shandong Province at both provincial and municipal levels.The results show that citizenization planning significantly improves the citizenization level of the agricultural transfer population in Shandong Province,and the results remain robust after controlling for relevant control variables.Citizenization planning has a significant promoting effect on the the improvement of the citizenization level of the agricultural transfer population in large cities with a population of 1 million to 3 million.For cities with a population of more than 3 million,citizenization planning should focus on major contradictions and development bottlenecks to strengthen the pertinence of planning;for small and medium-sized cities with a population of less than 1 million,citizenization planning should adhere to demand-oriented and targeted policy implementation to avoid resource waste.
宋秋瑞;吴先华
济南大学 土木建筑学院,山东 济南 250022济南大学 土木建筑学院,山东 济南 250022
建筑与水利
市民化规划双重差分农业转移人口市民化水平
citizenization planningdifference-in-differencesagricultural transfer populationcitizenization level
《山东建筑大学学报》 2026 (3)
85-91,7
山东省自然科学基金项目(ZR2020MD012)
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