基于双通道网络和迁移学习的超短期风电功率预测OA
Ultra-short-term Wind Power Prediction Based on Dual-channel Networks and Transfer Learning
针对新建风电场因历史数据不足而难以实现高精度风电功率预测的问题,提出了一种基于双通道网络和迁移学习的超短期风电功率预测方法.该方法首先通过双通道网络分别对气象数据和功率数据进行特征提取.其中,气象通道采用注意力机制为不同气象因素动态分配权重,并结合卷积神经网络提取高维气象特征;功率通道则采用门控循环单元,以有效捕捉数据的变化趋势,从而预测未来发电功率.随后,将双通道提取的特征进行融合,并通过前馈神经网络实现风电功率的回归预测.为进一步提升模型在数据稀缺场景下的性能,采用迁移学习策略,先在数据充足的风电场进行模型预训练,再将其迁移至目标风电场进行微调.仿真实验结果表明,所提方法在预测精度上显著优于现有模型,并有效缓解了新建风电场因数据不足导致的预测精度下降问题.
An ultra short term wind power prediction method based on dual channel network and transfer learning is proposed to address the problem of insufficient historical data for newly built wind farms,which makes it difficult to achieve high-precision wind power prediction.In this method,the features are first extracted from the meteorological data and power data through the dual-channel network.Among them,the meteorological channel adopts the attention mechanism to dynamically assign weights to meteorological factors.After that,the convolutional neural network is used to extract high-dimensional meteorological features in the data.The power channel uses a gated recurrent unit to extract the change trend of features and predict future power generation.Then,the features extracted by the dual-channel are then combined and regressed to the wind power via a feedforward neural network.Finally,the training strategy of transfer learning is used to pre-train the model on the wind farm data with sufficient data.After pre-training,transfer the model to a target wind farm with insufficient data volume.Simulation results show that the proposed method outperforms other predictive models.Moreover,it can effectively improve the problem of poor prediction accuracy caused by insufficient data volume of new wind farms.
杨海林;李立新;范瑞铭;张鑫;王渊龄;李媛媛;赵雪
国网青海省电力公司经济技术研究院,青海省 西宁市 810000电网安全与节能国家重点实验室(中国电力科学研究院有限公司),北京市 海淀区 100192国网青海省电力公司经济技术研究院,青海省 西宁市 810000电网安全与节能国家重点实验室(中国电力科学研究院有限公司),北京市 海淀区 100192国网青海省电力公司经济技术研究院,青海省 西宁市 810000电网安全与节能国家重点实验室(中国电力科学研究院有限公司),北京市 海淀区 100192国网青海省电力公司经济技术研究院,青海省 西宁市 810000
信息技术与安全科学
风电功率预测双通道网络迁移学习注意力机制卷积神经网络门控循环单元
wind power predictiondual-channeltransfer learningattention mechanismconvolutional neural networkgated recurrent unit
《全球能源互联网》 2026 (3)
361-370,10
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