基于AAL模型的股票趋势研究OA
Research on Stock Price Trend Analysis Based on AAL Model
为了有效预测股价的趋势变化,将自回归积分滑动平均模型(ARIMA),注意力机制(Attention),长短时记忆神经网络(LSTM)融合起来(即AAL)预测股价的未来走势.首先通过ARIMA模型预测股票并求得预测值和真实值的残差,再用残差值训练Attention-LSTM模型,最后结合ARIMA的预测股价和Attention-LSTM预测的残差作为最终的预测股价.结果表明,融合模型(ARIMA-Attention-LSTM)预测结果明显优于独立模型使用的效果,这说明该方法在预测股价方面具有一定的可行性和有效性.
In order to effectively predict the trend of the stock price,the autoregressive integral moving average model(ARI-MA),attention mechanism(Attention),and long-term and short-term memory neural network(LSTM)are combined(i.e.AAL)to predict the future trend of the stock price.First,the stock is predicted by ARIMA model and the residual between the predicted value and the real value is obtained.Then the Attention-LSTM model is trained by the residual value.Finally,the predicted stock price of ARIMA and the residual predicted by Attention-LSTM are combined as the final predicted stock price.The results show that the prediction result of ARIMA-Attention-LSTM is significantly better than that of the independent model,which shows that the method is feasible and effective in predicting stock prices.
张训韬;范永胜
重庆师范大学计算机与信息科学学院 重庆 401331重庆师范大学计算机与信息科学学院 重庆 401331
信息技术与安全科学
股价预测注意力机制ARIMALSTM融合模型
stock price forecastAttention mechanismARIMALSTMfusion model
《计算机与数字工程》 2026 (3)
640-645,685,7
重庆师范大学(人才引进/博士启动)基金项目(编号:17XCB008)教育部人文社会科学研究项目(编号:18XJC880002)资助.
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