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基于混合Transformer模型的飞行轨迹预测OA

Flight Trajectory Prediction Based on a Hybrid Transformer Model

中文摘要英文摘要

高效、准确的飞行轨迹预测技术是实现空中交通管理智能化和信息化的核心,能够显著提升空中交通的运行效率与安全性.为了解决传统轨迹预测方法在处理高维数据和复杂时空依赖性方面的不足,论文提出了一种结合自注意力机制、卷积神经网络(CNN)和Transformer结构的混合神经网络模型,用以提升飞行轨迹预测的准确性和实时性.该模型能够有效捕捉轨迹数据中的时空依赖特性.实验表明,与自注意力-CNN-LSTM和传统CNN-LSTM模型相比,该模型在经度、纬度和高度的预测精度上均有显著提升,特别是在关键轨迹节点上,表现出了优秀的预测效果.

Efficient and accurate flight trajectory prediction technology is central to achieving intelligent and information-driv-en air traffic management,significantly enhancing the operational efficiency and safety of air traffic.To address the limitations of tra-ditional trajectory prediction methods in handling high-dimensional data and complex spatiotemporal dependencies,this paper pro-poses a hybrid neural network model that combines self-attention mechanisms,convolutional neural networks(CNN),and a Trans-former structure to improve the accuracy and real-time performance of flight trajectory prediction.The proposed model effectively captures spatiotemporal dependencies in trajectory data.Experimental results indicate that,compared to self-attention CNN-LSTM and traditional CNN-LSTM models,this model achieves notable improvements in prediction accuracy for longitude,latitude,and altitude,particularly exhibiting superior predictive performance at critical trajectory points.

黄晋;赵隆懿;高震;李欣洋

中国民用航空飞行学院 广汉 618307中国民用航空飞行学院 广汉 618307中国民用航空飞行学院 广汉 618307中国民用航空飞行学院 广汉 618307

航空航天

轨迹预测空中交通管理自注意力机制Transformer时空依赖性

trajectory predictionair traffic managementself-attention mechanismTransformerspatiotemporal dependency

《舰船电子工程》 2026 (4)

47-52,6

民航局安全能力建设项目(编号:FY2024MHBZ-12)资助.

10.3969/j.issn.1672-9730.2026.04.009

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