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基于贝叶斯网络的空中目标威胁评估方法OA

Air Target Threat Evaluation Method Based on Bayesian Network

中文摘要英文摘要

根据防空作战的需求,为解决防空作战中对于空中目标的威胁评估问题,分析了当前提出的多种威胁评估的方法,结合实际作战需求,考虑到空中目标属性的具有较低的准确性和缺失的可能,能够透明化地展示威胁评估的决策过程,提出一种基于贝叶斯的空中目标威胁评估方法.该方法通过分析空中目标属性,选取能够目标威胁要素,根据各要素的因果关系和条件概率搭建贝叶斯网络,构建空中目标威胁评估模型.仿真结果表明,该模型能够较为准确地反映目标的威胁程度,可以为防空作战辅助决策提供有效支撑.

According to the needs of air defense combat,in order to solve the problem of threat assessment of air targets in air defense combat,analyzing the current proposed multiple threat assessment methods,combining with the actual operational needs,taking into account that the attributes of air targets have lower accuracy and the possibility of missing,and being able to transparent-ly show the decision-making process of the threat assessment,a Bayesian-based air target threat assessment method is proposed.The method constructs an air target threat assessment model by analyzing the air target attributes,selecting the elements that can tar-get the threat,and building a Bayesian network based on the causal relationship and conditional probability of each element.The simulation results show that the model can accurately respond to the threat level of the target,and can provide effective support for air defense combat auxiliary decision-making.

赵慧娟;刘婉虹;郑伟伟

武汉数字工程研究所 武汉 430205武汉数字工程研究所 武汉 430205中国船舶集团有限公司工程管理中心 北京 100192

信息技术与安全科学

空中目标威胁评估威胁要素贝叶斯网络

air targetthreat evaluationthreat elementsBayesian network

《舰船电子工程》 2026 (4)

27-31,5

10.3969/j.issn.1672-9730.2026.04.006

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