首页|期刊导航|河北农业大学学报(社会科学版)|地方政府债务、金融资源错配与乡村产业振兴

地方政府债务、金融资源错配与乡村产业振兴OA

Local Government Debt,Financial Resource Misallocation,and Rural Industrial Revitalization

中文摘要英文摘要

地方政府债务水平和金融资源配置状况必然影响乡村产业振兴.基于 2006-2022年省级面板数据,检验了地方政府债务和金融资源错配对乡村产业振兴的影响效应.实证结果表明,地方政府债务通过提升农业新质生产力赋能乡村产业振兴,而金融资源错配加剧了农村劳动力外流、降低了农村创新创业活力,进而阻碍了乡村产业振兴;地方政府债务和数字普惠金融能在一定程度上消解金融资源错配的负面效应.异质性检验表明,东部地区地方政府债务的乡村产业振兴推动效应较强,且这类地区金融错配的负面效应弱于其他地区.空间相关性研究表明,空间互动状态下地方政府债务、金融资源错配的乡村产业振兴效应具有复杂的网络特征和显著的空间关联性.因此,需优化政策组合吸引和留住金融资源投资"三农",合理划分筹融资责任,积极发展乡村数字普惠金融,通过财政转移支付调节金融资源空间流动,因地制宜、循序渐进地推进实施乡村产业振兴.

Against the backdrop of persistently declining global fertility rates,understanding the formation mechanisms and enhancement pathways of fertility intentions has become critical for addressing population sustainability challenges.Drawing on methodologies from graph visualization and bibliometric mapping analysis,this study systematically compares Chinese and international scholarly literature on fertility in-tentions published over the past two decades.While both bodies of literature examine fertility intentions through the lenses of individual characteristics,family structure,and institutional context,their emphases diverge significantly.Chinese scholarship is deeply grounded in the context of China's rapid social trans-formation,prioritizing macro-level factors-including opportunity costs associated with education and ca-reer advancement,the influence of traditional cultural norms,childcare expenditures,policy reforms(e.g.,the two-child and three-child policies),and urban-rural disparities-and exhibits a pronounced policy-oriented orientation.In contrast,the international literature centers on micro-level psychological mechanisms,gender equity dynamics,accessibility and quality of reproductive health services,and the evolving,interactive processes underlying family decision-making-thereby cultivating a pluralistic,multi-method research paradigm.Analysis of highly co-cited works reveals a shared conceptual conver-gence around the"unwilling-afraid-unable"attribution framework for low fertility.Yet the explanatory pathways differ markedly:Chinese studies predominantly adopt an institutional-structural lens,whereas international research integrates individual-level psychological dispositions with cross-national compari-sons of welfare state arrangements.These divergences reflect fundamental differences in welfare regimes and national developmental stages,offering both theoretical insights and empirically grounded implications for China's population governance strategies.

苟兴朝;陈佳雯

长江师范学院 经济与管理学院,重庆 涪陵,408100长江师范学院 财务与资产管理处,重庆 涪陵,408100

管理科学

地方政府债务金融资源错配乡村产业振兴

local government debtfinancial resource misallocationrural industrial revitalization

《河北农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2026 (3)

86-101,16

国家社会科学基金项目:"财政金融协同支持乡村振兴的效应评估及其长效机制研究"(编号:22XTJ003).

10.13320/j.cnki.jauhe.2026.0031

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