首页|期刊导航|河北农业大学学报(社会科学版)|超越经济扶持之手:父代支持对子代生育意愿的影响

超越经济扶持之手:父代支持对子代生育意愿的影响OA

A Study on the Impact of Parental Support on Offspring's Fertility Intentions:An Empirical Analysis Based on the 2022 China Family Panel Studies Data

中文摘要英文摘要

探索个人生育意愿是探索人口结构转型的重要驱动力,个人生育意愿受到外在环境、家庭关系和个人观念的多重影响.在我国人口问题严峻的当下,探索父代的代际支持对子代的生育意愿产生的影响,了解当代育龄人群真正需要的支持,有助于实现人口高质量发展.利用2022 年中国家庭追踪调查(CFPS)的数据分析父辈不同种类的代际支持,包括经济支持、照料支持和情感支持对子女生育意愿的影响,并使用 OLS 回归模型,加入个人特征和家庭特征作为控制变量,一方面探讨不同种类的代际支持对子女的生育意愿是否产生影响,另一方面探讨产生影响的背后原因.研究结果显示:父代的不同支持对子代的生育意愿有不同的影响,父代的照料支持和情感支持对子代的生育意愿有显著的正向影响,经济支持则没有产生影响;不同的代际支持因育龄群体的年龄、城乡属性和家庭人均收入的不同,而具有异质性影响.据此,在进行提高生育率的政策设计时,必须充分考虑到育龄群体的差异化.

Exploring individuals'fertility intentions is essential for understanding the fundamental drivers of demographic structural transformation,as such intentions are shaped by external socioeconomic condi-tions,familial relationships,and personal value systems.Against the backdrop of China's severe demo-graphic challenges-including persistently low fertility rates,accelerating population aging,and declining working-age populations-examining how parental intergenerational support influences offspring's fertil-ity intentions,and identifying the actual support needs of contemporary individuals of childbearing age,is critical to advancing high-quality population development.Drawing on data from the 2022 China Family Panel Studies(CFPS),this study investigates how distinct forms of parental intergenerational support-namely,economic support,caregiving support,and emotional support-affect offspring's fertility inten-tions.Employing an Ordinary Least Squares(OLS)regression framework-with individual-and house-hold-level characteristics included as control variables-we assess both the existence and magnitude of these effects,as well as the underlying mechanisms through which they operate.The empirical results re-veal that different types of parental support exert heterogeneous effects on fertility intentions:caregiving support and emotional support significantly and positively influence offspring's intended fertility,whereas economic support exhibits no statistically significant association.Moreover,these effects vary systemati-cally across subgroups defined by age,urban-rural residence,and household per capita income-high-lighting substantial heterogeneity in responsiveness to intergenerational support.Consequently,fertility-enhancing policies must move beyond one-size-fits-all approaches and instead be carefully tailored to reflect the diverse socioeconomic contexts and support needs of individuals of childbearing age.

马广博;林锦瑟

安徽财经大学 财政与公共管理学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030安徽财经大学 财政与公共管理学院,安徽 蚌埠 233030

社会科学

代际支持父代支持生育意愿经济照料情感

intergenerational supportpaternal supportfertility intentioneconomic supportcaregiving supportemotional support

《河北农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2026 (3)

43-52,10

国家社会科学基金项目:"生育女性社会养老金损失精算及保护政策研究"(编号:23BRK020).

10.13320/j.cnki.jauhe.2026.0027

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