知识图谱视角下国内外生育意愿研究热点及趋势分析OA
Hotspots and Trends in Domestic and International Fertility Intention Research Based on a Knowledge Graph Perspective
在全球低生育率持续加剧的背景下,深入研究生育意愿的形成机制与提升路径已成为应对人口可持续发展挑战的关键.基于知识图谱可视化方法,通过对近 20 年来国内外生育意愿研究进行比较分析发现,国内外研究虽均从个体特征、家庭结构与制度环境 3 个维度解构生育意愿,但核心焦点存在显著差异:国内研究紧密契合社会转型背景,侧重教育与职业机会成本、传统生育文化、育儿成本、生育政策调整及城乡二元结构等宏观社会经济因素,呈现鲜明的政策导向;国外研究则聚焦于微观心理机制、性别平等、生殖健康服务可及性与家庭决策的动态过程,形成多元方法互嵌的研究范式.对高共被引文献的进一步分析显示,国内外研究在"不想生—不敢生—不能生"的归因框架上形成共识,但解释路径呈现分野:国内侧重制度—结构分析,国外兼顾个体心理与福利制度比较.上述差异根植于不同的福利制度安排与社会发展阶段,为我国构建符合国情的人口治理体系提供理论参照与经验借鉴.
Against the backdrop of persistently declining global fertility rates,understanding the formation mechanisms and enhancement pathways of fertility intentions has become crucial for addressing population sustainability challenges.Utilizing knowledge of graph visualization and mapping analysis,this study sys-tematically compares Chinese and international literature on fertility intentions over the past two decades.While both examine fertility intentions through individual characteristics,family structure,and institution-al environment,their focal points differ significantly.The Chinese literature is deeply rooted in the con-text of China's social transformation,focusing on the macro factors-such as educational and career op-portunity costs,traditional culture,childcare expenses,policy adjustments,and urban-rural disparities-and exhibits a strong policy orientation.The international literature focuses on micro-psychological mechanisms,gender equality,accessibility of reproductive health services,and dynamic processes of fam-ily decision-making,forming a multi-method research paradigm.Analysis of highly co-cited works reveals convergence on the"unwilling-afraid-unable"attribution framework,yet divergent explanatory paths:the former emphasizes institutional-structural analysis,while the latter integrates individual psy-chology with welfare arrangement comparisons.These differences stem from distinct welfare regimes and developmental stages,offering theoretical references and empirical insights for China's population govern-ance.
杨晓敏;可靖涵
浙江万里学院 法学院,浙江 宁波 315100||宁波市社会治理现代化研究中心(宁波市社会治理现代化创新实验室),浙江 宁波 315100中国农业大学 人文与发展学院,北京 100083
社会科学
生育意愿生育政策知识图谱CiteSpace
fertility intentionfertility policyknowledge mappingCiteSpace
《河北农业大学学报(社会科学版)》 2026 (3)
32-42,11
浙江省哲学社会科学规划"省市合作"课题:"'全面三孩'政策下双职工家庭女性生育意愿及影响因素研究"(编号:24SSHZ038YB)北京市教育科学"十四五"规划青年专项课题:"面向乡村产业振兴的专业学位研究生培养路径优化研究"(编号:CECA22135).
评论