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机器学习算法在地质灾害风险评估中的应用与比较研究OA

Application and comparative study of machine learning algorithms in geological hazard risk assessment

中文摘要英文摘要

中国复杂的地形地质条件与高强度的人类活动交织,使得地质灾害风险评估成为保障国土安全与重大工程建设的核心课题.传统评估方法在处理多因子非线性耦合关系时面临瓶颈,而机器学习(machine learning,ML)算法以其强大的模式识别与预测能力,为该领域带来了新的方法论突破.本文系统综述了逻辑回归(lo-gistic regression,LR)、支持向量机(support vector machine,SVM)、随机森林(random forest,RF)、梯度提升机(gradient boosting machine,GBM)、以及深度学习(deep learning,DL)等算法在地质灾害易发性评价中的应用进展.通过对比分析不同算法的核心原理、数据需求、预测性能、稳定性和结果可解释性,并结合国内外典型案例,阐明了各类算法的优势与适用场景.研究发现,集成学习(ensemble learning)算法(如RF、GBM)在大多数情况下表现出更高的精度与稳健性;深度学习模型(如卷积神经网络)在自动特征提取方面潜力巨大,但其结果可解释性差且对数据量要求高.当前应用仍面临模型物理机制融合不足、动态风险评估能力有限、区域迁移性差等关键挑战.进一步探讨了特征工程、样本处理与模型优化等关键技术,并展望了融合物理机制与数据驱动模型的未来发展方向,旨在为工程地质风险评估的智能化实践提供系统参考.

The interweaving of complex topographic and geological conditions with high intensive human activities in China has made geological hazard risk assessment a core issue for safeguarding national territorial security and major engineering construction.Traditional assessment methods face bottlenecks in dealing with nonlinear coupling relationships among multiple factors,while machine learning(ML)algorithms,with their powerful pattern recognition and prediction capabilities,have brought new methodological breakthroughs to this field.This paper systematically reviews the application progress of algorithms such as logistic regression(LR),support vector machine(SVM),random forest(RF),gradient boosting machine(GBM),and deep learning(DL)in geological hazard susceptibility assessment.By comparing and analyzing the core principles,data requirements,predictive performance,stability and result interpretability of different algorithms,and combining typical cases at home and abroad,the advantages and applicable scenarios of various algorithms are clarified.The study has found that ensemble learning algorithms(e.g.,RF and GBM)exhibit higher accuracy and robustness in most cases;deep learning models(e.g.,convolutional neural networks,CNN)have great potential in automatic feature extraction,but their results have poor interpretability and high data volume requirements.The current application still face key challenges such as insufficient integration of model physical mechanisms,limited dynamic risk assessment capabilities,and poor regional transferability.This paper further discusses key technologies including feature engineering,sample processing,aa well as model optimization,and prospects the future development direction of integrating physical mechanism-driven and data-driven models,aiming to provide a systematic reference for the intelligent practice of engineering geological risk assessment.

郭子轩;崔燕;张勇

湖南科技大学资源环境与安全工程学院,湖南 湘潭 411201湖南科技大学资源环境与安全工程学院,湖南 湘潭 411201湖南科技大学资源环境与安全工程学院,湖南 湘潭 411201

天文与地球科学

地质灾害易发性评价评价指标体系评价模型机器学习

geological hazardsusceptibility evaluationevaluation index systemevaluation modelmachine learning

《地质装备》 2026 (3)

70-76,7

湖南省交通厅科技进步与创新计划项目(编号:201943)

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