中国黄渤海及东北地区爆发性气旋的气候学特征OACHSSCD
Climatology of Explosive Cyclones over the Yellow-Bohai Seas and Northeastern China
[目的]揭示中国黄渤海及东北地区爆发性气旋的气候学特征,为爆发性气旋的发生发展规律认识及防灾减灾提供科学依据.[方法]使用欧洲中期天气预报中心提供的ERA5再分析数据,采用爆发性气旋的客观识别和追踪方法,统计分析1959-2022年中国黄渤海及东北地区爆发性气旋的气候学特征.[结果与结论]近64 a,中国黄渤海及东北地区共发生104例爆发性气旋,黄渤海爆发性气旋主要是江淮气旋或黄河气旋入海后爆发性发展,东北地区爆发性气旋主要为蒙古气旋或东北气旋东移过程中在东北地区爆发性发展.黄渤海爆发性气旋和东北地区爆发性气旋均发生52例,多为弱和中爆发性气旋,强爆发性气旋较少,无超强爆发性气旋.中国黄渤海及东北地区爆发性气旋春季发生频数最多,冬季发生频数最少.黄渤海爆发性气旋多发于春季和夏季,秋季和冬季发生频数相对较少;东北地区爆发性气旋秋季发生频数最多,冬季发生频数最少,两者的季节分布差异主要在秋季.黄渤海爆发性气旋和东北地区爆发性气旋月际频数在各季节存在较大不均衡,且东北地区爆发性气旋月际频数的不均衡性更大.黄渤海爆发性气旋的平均爆发强度(1.23 Bergeron)和爆发时长(16.9 h)均大于东北地区爆发性气旋(1.22 Bergeron,15.3 h),但东北地区爆发性气旋中心最低气压平均值(985.6 hPa)总体低于黄渤海爆发性气旋(989.6 hPa).对比Yoshida A等(2004)、Zhang S Q等(2017)和Wang C C等(2001)关于北太平洋和北大西洋海上爆发性气旋统计特征的研究发现,中国黄渤海及东北地区爆发性气旋的爆发强度弱于海上爆发性气旋,中心最低气压高于海上爆发性气旋,爆发时长短于海上爆发性气旋,且其频发季节存在明显的差异.
[Objective]This paper aims to analyze the climatology of explosive cyclones(ECs)over the Yellow-Bohai Seas(YBS)and Northeastern China(NEC)so as to reveal their climatological characteristics,providing scientific basis for understanding the occurrence and development,disaster prevention and mitigation of ECs.[Methods]Using ERA5 reanalysis data provided by the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts,the objective identification and tracking methods of ECs were employed to statistically analyze the climatic characteristics of ECs over the YBS and NEC from 1959 to 2022.[Results and Conclusions]Over the past 64 years,a total of 104 ECs occurred over the YBS and NEC.YBS ECs generally resulted from the explosive development of the Jiang-Huai or Yellow River cyclones after they moved into the sea.Meanwhile,NEC ECs were mainly the Mongolian or northeastern China cyclone after moving eastward to the northeastern China.ECs occurred over the YBS and NEC are both 52 cases,most of which were weak and moderate ECs,few strong ECs,and no super ECs.The frequency of ECs over the YBS and NEC had maximum in spring,but minimum in winter.YBS ECs occurred frequently in spring and summer,seldom in autumn and winter.In contrast,NEC ECs appeared mostly in autumn,leastly in winter.The seasonal distribution between the two regions was significantly different in autumn.The monthly frequencies of YBS and NEC ECs showed great seasonal imbalance,and the imbalance of NEC ECs was greater.The average explosive intensity(1.23 Bergeron)and duration(16.9 h)of YBS ECs were stronger and longer than those of NEC ECs(1.22 Bergeron and 15.3 h).However,the average value of minimum central sea level pressure of YBS ECs were higher(989.6 hPa),than that of the NEC ECs(985.6 hPa).Compared with the statistical characteristics of ECs over the North Pacific and North Atlantic revealed in previous studies by Yoshida A,et al(2004),Zhang S Q,et al(2017),and Wang C C,et al(2001),it is found that ECs over the YBS and NEC have a weaker explosive intensity,higher minimum central sea level pressure,and shorter lifetime than the ECs over the marine,and their frequent occurrence seasons show significant differences.
张树钦;朱梓烨;卓少挥;仉天宇;谢昕乐
广东海洋大学海洋与气象学院/近海海洋变化与灾害预警实验室/广东省高等学校陆架及深远海气候、资源与环境重点实验室/南海海洋气象联合实验室/粤西近海海洋气象灾害理论与预测预报应用研究重点实验室,广东 湛江 524088||南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东 珠海 519082广东海洋大学海洋与气象学院/近海海洋变化与灾害预警实验室/广东省高等学校陆架及深远海气候、资源与环境重点实验室/南海海洋气象联合实验室/粤西近海海洋气象灾害理论与预测预报应用研究重点实验室,广东 湛江 524088广东海洋大学海洋与气象学院/近海海洋变化与灾害预警实验室/广东省高等学校陆架及深远海气候、资源与环境重点实验室/南海海洋气象联合实验室/粤西近海海洋气象灾害理论与预测预报应用研究重点实验室,广东 湛江 524088广东海洋大学海洋与气象学院/近海海洋变化与灾害预警实验室/广东省高等学校陆架及深远海气候、资源与环境重点实验室/南海海洋气象联合实验室/粤西近海海洋气象灾害理论与预测预报应用研究重点实验室,广东 湛江 524088||南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东 珠海 519082广东海洋大学海洋与气象学院/近海海洋变化与灾害预警实验室/广东省高等学校陆架及深远海气候、资源与环境重点实验室/南海海洋气象联合实验室/粤西近海海洋气象灾害理论与预测预报应用研究重点实验室,广东 湛江 524088
天文与地球科学
爆发性气旋气候学特征移动路径频数和强度黄渤海地区东北地区
explosive cycloneclimatologytrackfrequency and intensityYellow-Bohai SeasNortheastern China
《广东海洋大学学报》 2026 (3)
148-155,8
国家重点研发计划项目(2023YFC3008205)国家自然科学基金(42575017)广东省基础与应用基础基金(2024A1515240012)广东省普通高校青年创新人才类项目(2022KQNCX026)广东省教育厅创新团队项目(2023KCXTD015)粤西热带海洋生态环境广东省野外科学观测研究站项目(2024B1212040008)广东省教育厅重点实验室项目(2025KSYS009)广东省科技计划项目(2024B1212040002)南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海)资助项目(SML2024SP023)广东海洋大学大学生创新创业项目(S202510566042)广东海洋大学学生创新团队项目(CXTD2021007)
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