"希望区域"方法用于临床试验样本量重新估计的一般考虑OA
Promising Zone Method for Sample Size Re-estimation in Clinical Trials:General Considerations
随着适应性设计的发展,基于期中分析数据进行样本量重新估计的方法近年来在国内逐渐受到重视并被广泛采用.在多种能够严格控制总Ⅰ类错误率的非盲态样本量重新估计方法中,由Mehta和Pocock提出的"希望区域"方法,因其诸多显著优势而备受关注,但该方法本身也存在一定的局限性.在实际应用中,部分申办者未进行"希望区域"方法的适用性和可行性分析,存在盲目滥用的情况.本文通过文献综述,梳理了"希望区域"方法的优势和局限性,并在此基础上提出实际操作中应注意的关键考虑,以期加深临床试验各相关方对"希望区域"方法的理解,为样本量重新估计方法在实际工作中的科学、合理应用提供借鉴.
The use of sample size re-estimation based on interim data has increasing attention and has been widely adopted in China in recent years as a part of adaptive trial designs.Among the various methods that rigorously control the overall type Ⅰ error rate,the"promising zone"approach proposed by Mehta and Pocock has attracted considerable interest due to its notable advantages.However,this method also has certain inherent limitations.In practice,some sponsors have applied the"promising zone"approach without adequately assessing its applicability and feasibility,leading to potential misuse.This paper provides a literature review summarizing the strengths and limitations of the promising zone method.On this basis,key practical considerations for its implementation are proposed.This work aims to enhance stakeholders' understanding of the"promising zone"approach and to provide guidance for the scientifically sound and appropriate application of sample size re-estimation methods in clinical trials.
王景朝;唐智敏;潘建红
国家药品监督管理局药品审评中心国家药品监督管理局药品审评中心国家药品监督管理局药品审评中心
医药卫生
希望区域样本量重新估计适应性设计期中分析临床试验
promising zonesample size re-estimationadaptive designinterim analysisclinical trial
《中国食品药品监管》 2026 (4)
34-39,6
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