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基于机器学习的肥胖相关基因特征预测胃癌患者的预后和治疗反应OA

Obesity-related Gene Features Based on Machine Learning in Predicting the Prognosis and Treatment Response of Patients with Gastric Cancer

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 探索与胃癌预后相关的肥胖基因,并构建预测模型以评估患者的预后和治疗反应.方法 基于TCGA和GEO数据库的胃癌转录组数据以及GeneCards中的肥胖相关基因,筛选出与胃癌相关的肥胖基因,并通过单因素Cox 回归分析确定58个预后相关基因.使用 101 种机器学习模型(包括Enet、RSF等)通过 10 折交叉验证构建预后预测模型,选取Enet[alpha=0.1]模型为最佳方案.通过Kaplan-Meier分析对高低风险组的生存差异进行评估.GSE84437 数据集用于模型验证,Cox回归分析进一步评估风险评分的独立性.通过肿瘤突变负荷(TMB)和免疫反应评分(TIDE)评估免疫治疗反应,采用药物敏感性评估比较两组对常见化疗药物的反应,通过细胞实验验证肥胖基因在胃癌细胞中的差异表达.结果 筛选出 239 个与肥胖相关的基因,并确定 58 个与胃癌预后相关的肥胖基因.基于这些基因,构建的Enet[alpha=0.1]模型将患者分为高、低风险组,且高风险组生存期较低风险组显著缩短.该模型预测胃癌患者 1、3、5 年总体生存率的AUC分别为 0.713、0.705、0.712,表现优异.整合临床因素的预后列线图C指数为 0.706,预测能力良好.免疫分析显示低风险组的TMB高于高风险组,且TIDE评分较低,提示低风险组对免疫治疗更敏感.药物敏感性评估显示高风险组可能更易从化疗和靶向治疗中获益.细胞实验验证了CARTPT和APOE在胃癌细胞中的高表达,而PDSS1 表达下调.结论 本次构建的肥胖基因特征模型可有效预测胃癌患者的预后、免疫反应及治疗反应,可为临床决策提供支持.

Objective To explore the obesity-related genes associated with the prognosis of gastric cancer,and to construct a prediction model to evaluate the prognosis and treatment response of patients.Methods Based on the transcriptome data of gastric cancer in TCGA and GEO databases and obesity-related genes in GeneCards,obesity genes associated with gastric cancer were screened,and 58 prognostic genes were identified by univariate Cox regression analysis.The 101 machine learning models(including Enet,RSF,etc.)were used to construct a prognostic prediction model through 10-fold cross-validation,and the Enet[alpha=0.1]model was selected as the best solution.Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to evaluate the survival differences between the high-risk group and low-risk group.The GSE84437 data set was used for model validation,and Cox regression analysis further assessed the independence of the risk score.Immunotherapy response was evaluated by tumor mutation burden(TMB)and immune response score(TIDE).Drug sensitivity assessment was used to compare the response of the two groups to common chemotherapy drugs.The differential expression of obesity genes in gastric cancer cells was verified by cell experiments.Results A total of 239 obesity-related genes were screened,and 58 obesity-related genes were identified for the prognosis of gastric cancer.Based on these genes,the constructed Enet[alpha=0.1]model divided patients into high-risk group and low-risk groups,and the survival time of the high-risk group was significantly shorter than that of the low-risk group.The AUC of the model for predicting the 1-,3-,and 5-year overall survival rates of gastric cancer patients was 0.713,0.705,and 0.712,respectively,showing excellent performance.The prognostic nomogram C index integrating clinical factors was 0.706,and the predictive ability was good.Immunological analysis showed that the TMB of the low-risk group was higher than that of the high-risk group,and the TIDE score was lower,suggesting that the low-risk group was more sensitive to immunotherapy.Drug sensitivity assessment showed that high-risk groups might be more likely to benefit from chemotherapy and targeted therapy.Cell experiments verified the high expression of CARTPT and APOE in gastric cancer cells,while the expression of PDSS1 was down-regulated.Conclusion The constructed obesity gene characteristic model can effectively predict the prognosis,immune response and treatment response of patients with gastric cancer,and can provide support for clinical decision-making.

高梓扬;赵崇玉;成龙;蓝煜;陈承业;陈俊良

肇庆市第一人民医院肿瘤科,广东 肇庆 526000暨南大学附属第一医院外科,广东 广州 510630广州医科大学附属惠州医院外科,广东 惠州 516000中山大学肿瘤防治中心内科,广东 广州 510000肇庆市第一人民医院肿瘤科,广东 肇庆 526000肇庆市第一人民医院肿瘤科,广东 肇庆 526000

医药卫生

胃癌肥胖机器学习预后

Gastric cancerObesityMachine learningPrognosis

《医学信息》 2026 (10)

32-39,8

10.3969/j.issn.1006-1959.2026.10.005

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