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考虑预算约束的养老服务补贴策略OA

Subsidy Strategies for Elderly Care Services Considering Budget Constraints

中文摘要英文摘要

随着我国老龄化程度的逐步加深,政府已出台多种养老服务补贴措施,以推动养老服务业发展.然而,面对庞大的老龄人口规模,养老补贴支出的持续增加给政府财政带来了巨大压力,如何在有限的财政资源下提供充足支持成为亟待解决的问题.本研究以政府无补贴策略为基准,结合预算约束条件,分析了补贴养老院、补贴消费者(老年人)及混合补贴(即同时补贴养老院与老年人)3种策略对养老服务业的影响.研究结果显示:补贴策略并非总能提升社会福利,过度补贴反而会降低社会福利水平;与补贴养老院策略相比,补贴老年人策略并非始终最优,最优策略的选择取决于政府的补贴预算规模;混合补贴策略受政府补贴预算的影响最为显著,且能够实现最高的社会福利.

With the gradual deepening of population aging in China,the government has introduced various subsidy policies to promote the development of the elderly care service industry.However,given the large and growing elderly population,the continuous increase in subsidy expenditures has placed significant pressure on public finances.Taking the government's no-subsidy strategy as a benchmark and incorporating budget constraints,this paper analyzes the impacts of three subsidy strategies on the elderly care service industry:subsidizing nursing homes,subsidizing consumers(the elderly),and mixed subsidies(i.e.,subsidizing both nursing homes and the elderly).The findings indicate that subsidy policies do not always improve social welfare;excessive subsidies may instead reduce overall welfare.Compared with subsidizing nursing homes,subsidizing the elderly is not always the optimal strategy;the optimal choice depends on the size of the government's subsidy budget.The mixed subsidy strategy is most sensitive to the government's budget level and can achieve the highest level of social welfare.

赵树平;李双双;陈敬贤;梁昌勇;李克卿

合肥工业大学管理学院,合肥 230009||过程优化与智能决策教育部重点实验室,合肥 230009合肥工业大学管理学院,合肥 230009||过程优化与智能决策教育部重点实验室,合肥 230009合肥工业大学管理学院,合肥 230009||过程优化与智能决策教育部重点实验室,合肥 230009合肥工业大学管理学院,合肥 230009||过程优化与智能决策教育部重点实验室,合肥 230009合肥工业大学管理学院,合肥 230009||过程优化与智能决策教育部重点实验室,合肥 230009

管理科学

预算约束政府补贴博弈社会福利

budget constraintgovernment subsidygame theorysocial welfare

《系统管理学报》 2026 (3)

637-648,12

国家社会科学基金重点项目(21AZD116)安徽省自然科学基金面上项目(2208085MG182)国家自然科学基金面上项目(72171073)

10.3969/j.issn2097-4558.2026.03.003

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