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数字新质生产力对经济双循环发展的影响研究OACHSSCD

Study on the Impact of Digital New Quality Productivity on the Development of Economic Dual Circulation

中文摘要英文摘要

数字新质生产力作为数据、算力与算法相结合形成的先进生产力质态,能够推动要素资源的快速流动与高效匹配,打通生产、分配、流通、消费等各环节,是推动经济双循环发展的重要驱动力.文章基于2013-2024年我国30个省份的面板数据,实证探析数字新质生产力对经济双循环发展的影响效应及作用机制.研究结果表明:数字新质生产力能够正向赋能经济双循环发展,这一结论在经过一系列稳健性和内生性检验后依然成立.异质性检验结果表明,数字新质生产力对经济双循环发展的影响呈现"东部﹥中部﹥东北﹥西部""高市场化水平﹥低市场化水平"的地区异质性特征.机制检验结果证实,颠覆性技术创新是数字新质生产力影响经济双循环发展的传导机制.空间溢出效应检验结果表明,数字新质生产力对经济双循环发展的影响存在正向空间溢出效应.

Digital new quality productivity,as an advanced productivity quality state formed by the combination of data,com-puting power and algorithms,can promote the rapid flow and efficient matching of factor resources,unlock all links such as pro-duction,distribution,circulation and consumption,and it is an important driving force for promoting the development of economic dual circulation.Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2013 to 2024,this paper empirically explores the impact effect and mechanism of digital new quality productivity on the development of economic dual circulation.The results show that digital new quality productivity can positively empower the development of economic dual circulation,and this conclusion still holds after a series of robustness and endogeneity tests.The results of the heterogeneity test show that the impact of digital new quality productivity on the development of economic dual circulation presents regional heterogeneity characteristics of"eastern re-gion>central region>northeastern region>western region"and"high marketization level>low marketization level".The results of the mechanism test confirm that disruptive technological innovation is the transmission mechanism through which digital new quality productivity affects the development of economic dual circulation.The results of the spatial spillover effect test show that the impact of digital new quality productivity on the development of economic dual circulation has a positive spatial spillover effect.

吴威威;商容轩

哈尔滨工业大学 马克思主义学院,哈尔滨 150001哈尔滨工业大学 经济与管理学院,哈尔滨 150001

管理科学

数字新质生产力经济双循环发展颠覆性技术创新耦合协调度模型

digital new quality productivitydevelopment of economic dual circulationdisruptive technological innovationcoupling coordination degree model

《统计与决策》 2026 (10)

11-16,6

黑龙江省高等教育教学改革项目思想政治理论课教学改革研究专项(SJGSX2023016)中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金资助项目(HIT.HSS.ESD202320)

10.13546/j.cnki.tjyjc.2026.10.002

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