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基于内质网应激相关基因特征的乳腺癌预后模型构建与功能解析OA

Construction and functional analysis of a prognostic model for breast cancer based on endoplasmic reticulum stress-related gene signatures

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 基于癌症基因组图谱(The Cancer Genome Atlas,TCGA)和基因表达综合数据库(Gene Expression Omnibus,GEO)数据库,构建一个基于内质网应激相关基因(endoplasmic reticulum stress-related genes,ERSRGs)的乳腺癌预后风险模型,并系统解析其生物学功能与临床意义.方法 整合 TCGA 数据库与 GEO 数据库数据集 GSE20685 和 GSE42568 中共1 469 例乳腺浸润癌(breast invasive carcinoma,BRCA)组织和 113 例癌旁组织的转录组与临床数据(TCGA-GEO BRCA 队列),筛选差异表达的 ERSRGs,并采用 LASSO Cox 回归构建预后模型.通过 Kaplan-Meier 法作生存分析、受试者工作特征(receiver operating characteristic,ROC)曲线、功能富集、免疫浸润、基因组变异和药物敏感性分析以评估模型性能.结果 从分子特征数据库 v7.0 获得 272 个 ERSRGs,基于 TCGA-GEO BRCA 队列在其中筛选出 15 个在乳腺癌组织中差异表达的基因[|log2 fold change(FC)|>1.0,P<0.05].通过 LASSO Cox 回归在其中筛选出 8 个预后关键基因用于构建预后风险模型,分别为cAMP反应元件结合蛋白 3 样 1(cAMP responsive element binding protein 3 like 1,CREB3L1)、基质细胞衍生因子 2 样 1(stromal cell derived factor 2 like 1,SDF2L1)、磷酸肌醇-3-激酶调节亚基 1(phosphoinositide-3-kinase regulatory subunit 1,PIK3R1)、失活同源物 2 相互作用蛋白(disabled homolog 2 interacting protein,DAB2IP)、蛋白磷酸酶 1 调节亚基 15A(protein phosphatase 1 regulatory subunit 15A,PPP1R15A)、佛波醇-12-肉豆蔻酸-13-乙酸酯诱导蛋白 1(phorbol-12-myristate-13-acetate-induced protein 1,PMAIP1)、丝裂原活化蛋白激酶激酶激酶 5(mitogen-activated protein kinase kinase kinase 5,MAP3K5)和 1,4,5-三磷酸肌醇受体 1 型(inositol 1,4,5-trisphosphate receptor type 1,ITPR1).以LASSO Cox 回归筛选所得的 8 个关键预后基因的回归系数与其归一化mRNA 表达值相乘并求和,建立风险评分公式,并使用风险评分的中位数将TCGA-GEO BRCA 队列的BRCA 患者分为高风险组(n=734)和低风险组(n=735).生存分析显示,高风险组患者总生存期(overall survival,OS)缩短(5 年 OS 率:76.8%vs 88.8%,10 年 OS 率:59.0%vs 77.6%;log-rank P<0.01).ROC 曲线分析显示,风险模型预测 1、3 和 5 年OS 的曲线下面积(area under the curve,AUC)分别为 0.645、0.671 和 0.689.功能分析提示,高风险组差异表达基因富集于雌激素信号通路、E2F 靶点、IL-17 信号通路和炎性反应等.免疫浸润分析显示,高风险组免疫评分与基质评分均升高(均 P<0.01).药物敏感性分析表明,高风险组对 18 种药物的半数抑制浓度(half maximal inhibitory concentration,IC50)值均高于低风险组(均P<0.01),尤其是细胞周期蛋白依赖性激酶 4/6(cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6,CDK4/6)抑制剂哌柏西利、哺乳动物雷帕霉素靶蛋白(mammalian target of rapamycin,mTOR)抑制剂替西罗莫司与AZD8055.结论 本研究成功构建一个基于ERSRGs的乳腺癌预后模型.该模型具有良好的预测性能,可能为乳腺癌患者的风险分层与个体化治疗提供参考.

Objective To construct a prognostic risk model for breast cancer based on endoplasmic reticulum stress-related genes(ERSRGs)using The Cancer Genome Atlas(TCGA)and Gene Expression Omnibus(GEO)databases,and to systematically analyze its biological functions and clinical significance.Methods Transcriptomic and clinical data of 1 469 breast invasive carcinoma(BRCA)tissues and 113 adjacent normal tissues from TCGA database and the datasets,GSE20685 and GSE42568,from GEO database were inte-grated as the TCGA-GEO BRCA cohort.Differentially expressed ERSRGs were identified,and a prognostic model was constructed using LASSO-Cox regression.Model performance was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier survival analysis,receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curves,functional enrichment analysis,immune infiltration analysis,genomic variation analysis,and drug sensitivity analysis.Results A total of 272 ERSRGs were obtained from the Molecular Signatures Database(MSigDB)v7.0,of which 15 were differentially expressed in BRCA tissues from the TCGA-GEO BRCA cohort[|log2 fold change(FC)|>1.0,P<0.05].Eight key prognostic genes were screened by LASSO-Cox regression to construct the prognostic risk model,including cAMP responsive element binding protein 3 like 1(CREB3L1),stromal cell derived factor 2 like 1(SDF2L1),phosphoinositide-3-kinase regulatory subunit 1(PIK3R1),disabled homolog 2 interact-ing protein(DAB2IP),protein phosphatase 1 regulatory subunit 15A(PPP1R15A),phorbol-12-myristate-13-acetate-induced protein 1(PMAIP1),mitogen-activated protein kinase kinase kinase 5(MAP3K5),and inositol 1,4,5-trisphosphate receptor type 1(ITPR1).A risk score formula was established using the normalized mRNA expression values of these genes weighted by the regression coefficients from the LASSO-Cox analysis,and the BRCA patients in the TCGA-GEO BRCA cohort were divided into a high-risk group(n=734)and a low-risk group(n=735)using the median risk score.Survival analysis showed that patients in the high-risk group had shortened overall survival(OS)(5-year OS rates:76.8%vs 88.8%;10-year OS rates:59.0%vs 77.6%;log-rank P<0.01).ROC curve analysis showed that the areas under the curves(AUCs)of the risk model for predicting 1-,3-,and 5-year OS were 0.645,0.671,and 0.689,respectively.Functional analysis suggested that differentially expressed genes in the high-risk group were enriched in estrogen response,E2F targets,interleukin-17 sig-naling pathway,and inflammatory response.Immune infiltration analysis showed that both immune scores and stromal scores were elevated in the high-risk group(both P<0.01).Drug sensitivity analysis indicated that the high-risk group had higher half maximal inhibitory con-centration(IC50)values for 18 drugs,especially the cyclin-dependent kinase 4/6(CDK4/6)inhibitor palbociclib and the mammalian target of rapamycin(mTOR)inhibitors temsirolimus and AZD8055,compared to the low-risk group(all P<0.01).Conclusions This study suc-cessfully constructed a prognostic model for breast cancer based on ERSRGs.The model has good predictive performance and may provide a reference for risk stratification and individualized treatment of breast cancer patients.

周美琪;邱吉利;龚晓楠;陈嘉妮;胡跃

浙江大学医学院附属第二医院乳腺外科,浙江 杭州 310009浙江大学医学院附属第二医院乳腺外科,浙江 杭州 310009浙江大学医学院附属第二医院乳腺外科,浙江 杭州 310009浙江大学医学院附属第二医院乳腺外科,浙江 杭州 310009浙江大学医学院附属第二医院乳腺外科,浙江 杭州 310009

乳腺癌内质网应激相关基因预后风险模型列线图生物信息学

breast cancerendoplasmic reticulum stress-related genesprognostic risk modelnomogrambioinformatics

《实用肿瘤杂志》 2026 (3)

233-246,14

浙江省自然科学基金(ZCLQN25H1607)北京市希思科临床肿瘤学研究基金(Y-QL2019-0393)中国医药卫生事业发展基金(chmdf2025-xrky07-12)

10.13267/j.cnki.syzlzz.2026.032

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