洮河流域防洪治理综合评价与分析OA
Comprehensive evaluation and analysis of flood control management in Taohe River Basin
[目的]构建防洪治理综合评价体系,为黄河流域防洪治理与评价提供理论依据和实践借鉴.[方法]聚焦黄河上游甘肃段的典型支流——洮河流域,构建涵盖资源环境、社会经济、基础设施与灾害管理4个维度的防洪治理综合评价指标体系,并从中选取20个具有典型代表性的二级指标,综合运用AHP-熵权法确定权重,TOPSIS法和主成分分析法对洮河流域2004-2023年的防洪治理成效进行了动态评价与分析.[结果](1)资源环境维度在整体评价中权重最大(0.46),是影响区域防洪治理能力的核心因素.(2)2004-2023年洮河流域防洪治理成效整体呈现显著上升趋势,在时间维度,其防洪治理能力持续增强,但在空间维度上,流域内各县区的治理水平存在明显差异.临洮县防洪治理水平持续升高,相对接近度为0.643,主成分得分为5.401,防洪能力较为突出;而另外5个县区治理水平虽逐年提升,但相较于临洮县,其治理水平较低,在防洪治理方面仍存在较大提升潜力.[结论]洮河流域的防洪治理水平在20年间呈上升趋势,治理成效逐步显现,但区域差异依然显著.
[Objective]This study aims to establish a comprehensive evaluation system for flood control management,providing theoretical foundations and practical references for flood control management and evaluation in the Yellow River Basin.[Methods]Focusing on the Taohe River Basin—a typical tributary in the Gansu section of the upper Yellow River—an integrated evaluation indicator system for flood control management was developed,encompassing four dimensions:resources and environment,socioeconomic,infrastructure,and disaster management.Twenty representative secondary indicators were selected,with weights determined using the AHP-entropy weight method.TOPSIS method and principal component analysis were applied to conduct dynamic evaluation and analysis of flood control management effectiveness in the Taohe River Basin from 2004 to 2023.[Results](1)The resource and environment dimension held the highest weight(0.46)in the overall evaluation,emerging as the core factor influencing regional flood control capacity.(2)The flood control effectiveness of the Taohe River Basin showed a significant upward trend from 2004 to 2023.While flood control capacity continuously strengthened over time,spatial variations were evident across counties and districts within the basin.Lintao County demonstrated a sustained improvement in flood control management,achieving a relative proximity of 0.643 and a principal component score of 5.401,indicating relatively outstanding flood control capabilities.In contrast,while the other five counties and districts showed annual improvements,their management levels remained lower than Lintao County's,indicating substantial potential for further enhancement in flood control efforts.[Conclusion]Flood control management in the Taohe River Basin has shown an upward trend over the past two decades,with management effectiveness gradually emerging.However,regional disparities remain pronounced.
范相蓉;姜渊博;齐广平;康燕霞;银敏华;马彦麟;王亚玉;刘建强
甘肃农业大学 水利水电工程学院,兰州 730070甘肃农业大学 水利水电工程学院,兰州 730070甘肃农业大学 水利水电工程学院,兰州 730070甘肃农业大学 水利水电工程学院,兰州 730070甘肃农业大学 水利水电工程学院,兰州 730070甘肃农业大学 水利水电工程学院,兰州 730070甘肃农业大学 水利水电工程学院,兰州 730070定西市水利水电勘测设计研究院有限公司,甘肃 定西 743000
建筑与水利
黄河支流洮河流域AHP-熵权法TOPSIS模型主成分分析
Yellow River tributariesTaohe River BasinAHP-entropy weight methodTOPSIS modelprincipal component analysis
《水土保持研究》 2026 (4)
172-182,11
甘肃省科技厅重点研发计划项目(23YFFA0020)甘肃省水利厅技术推广项目(GSAU-JSFW-2025-68,GSAU-JSFW-2023-144)
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