不同雨量站点密度条件下多源降水融合精度评估OA
Evaluation of Multi-source Precipitation Merging Accuracy under Different Rainfall Station Densities
为系统评估雨量站点密度对多源降水融合精度的影响,以桓仁流域为例,设置 8 种站点密度方案,采用随机森林(RF)算法融合 IMERG 与 GSMaP 系列近实时产品,并从统计相关性、误差特征与事件检出能力等方面对融合效果进行综合评价.结果表明:在不同雨量站点密度条件下,融合产品精度均优于单一卫星降水产品,即使站点极稀疏时,相关系数、均方根误差、平均绝对误差和探测率指标较最优单源产品仍有明显改善;融合精度随站点密度变小呈非线性提升,且存在约 1 700 km2/站的临界阈值,当站点密度大于该阈值时精度提升显著,小于该阈值时则精度提升缓慢.
In order to systematically evaluate the influence of rainfall station density on multi-source precipitation merging accuracy,the Huanren Basin is used as a case study,where eight station-density schemes are established,the random forest(RF)algorithm is applied to merge the near-real-time IMERG and GSMaP product series,and the resulting merged outputs are comprehensively evaluated in terms of statistical correlation,error characteristics,and event-detection capability.The results show that:(a)the RF-based merged products consistently outperform individual satellite products across all density scenarios,even under very sparse observational networks,and the merged estimates exhibit clear improvements in correlation,root-mean-square error,mean absolute error and detection rate compared with the best single-source product;and(b)the merging accuracy improves nonlinearly as the station density decreases,with a critical threshold identified at approximately 1 700 km2/station,and when the station density is greater than this threshold,the accuracy improvement is significant,whereas below this threshold the gains become limited.
倪欣宇;艾家棋;叶磊
大连理工大学水利工程系,辽宁 大连 116024中国电建集团成都勘测设计研究院有限公司,四川 成都 610072大连理工大学水利工程系,辽宁 大连 116024
天文与地球科学
雨量站点密度降水融合精度评估随机森林桓仁流域
rainfall station densityprecipitation mergingprecipitation evaluationrandom forestHuanren Basin
《水力发电》 2026 (6)
16-21,6
国家自然科学基金资助项目(52322901)
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