首页|期刊导航|中南医学科学杂志|术前NLR、D-D及CACS构建PCI术后CIN预测模型

术前NLR、D-D及CACS构建PCI术后CIN预测模型OA

Construction of a predictive model for CIN after PCI based on preoperative NLR,D-D and CACS

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 分析术前中性粒细胞与淋巴细胞比值(NLR)、D-二聚体(D-D)及冠状动脉钙化积分(CACS)对经皮冠脉介入术(PCI)术后对比剂肾病(CIN)的预测价值,并构建术后 CIN 预测模型.方法 选择接受 PCI 的冠心病患者426 例,按7∶3分为训练集(n=298)和验证集(n=128).根据术后是否发生 CIN,将训练集病例分为 CIN 组(n=57)和非 CIN 组(n=241).比较各组临床资料.采用Logistic 多因素回归分析CIN 的影响因素并构建预测模型,通过ROC 曲线及校准曲线评估模型的预测效能与分层价值.结果 CIN 组与非 CIN 组年龄、糖尿病占比、左室射血分数、术前肌酐、估算的肾小球滤过率、对比剂用量、利尿剂使用占比、白细胞计数、中性粒细胞计数、淋巴细胞计数、NLR、D-D、空腹血糖和 CACS 比较,差异有显著性(P<0.05).NLR、D-D 和 CACS 是术后 CIN 的影响因素(P<0.001).成功构建 PCI 术后 CIN 预测模型,该模型的 AUC 值高于单一指标预测效能值(P<0.001).结论 成功构建并验证了基于术前 NLR、D-D 及 CACS 的 PCI 术后 CIN 预测模型.该模型预测效能优异,分层能力明确,可为临床早期识别高危患者并实施针对性干预提供有力依据.

Aim To analyze the predictive value of preoperative neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio(NLR),D-dimer(D-D),and coronary artery calcium score(CACS)for contrast induced nephropathy(CIN)after percutaneous coronary intervention(PCI),and to construct a postoperative CIN prediction model.Methods A total of 426 patients with coronary artery disease who under-went PCI were selected and divided into a training set(n=298)and a validation set(n=128)at a ratio of 7∶3.Based on the oc-currence of CIN postoperatively,the training set cases were categorized into a CIN group(n=57)and a non-CIN group(n=241).Clinical data were compared among different groups.Logistic multivariate regression analysis was employed to identify predictors of CIN and construct a predictive model.The predictive performance and stratification value of the model were evaluated using ROC curves and calibration curves.Results There was a significant difference in age,proportion of diabetes,left ventricular ejection fraction,preoperative creatinine,estimated glomerular filtration rate,contrast agent dosage,proportion of diuretic use,white blood cell count,neutrophil count,lymphocyte count,NLR,the levels of D-D,fasting blood glucose,and CACS score,between the CIN group and the non-CIN group(P<0.05).NLR,D-D,and CACS were influencing factors for postoperative CIN(P<0.001).A predic-tive model for post-PCI CIN was successfully established,with the model's AUC significantly higher than that of any single indicator(P<0.001).Conclusion A predictive model for post-PCI CIN based on preoperative NLR,D-D,and CACS was successfully constructed and validated.The model demonstrated excellent predictive performance and clear stratification capability,providing ro-bust evidence for early clinical identification of high-risk patients and implementation of targeted interventions.

高旭升;魏向东;李少华

北京怀柔医院心内科,北京 101400北京怀柔医院心内科,北京 101400北京怀柔医院心内科,北京 101400

医药卫生

NLRD-D冠状动脉钙化积分经皮冠脉介入术对比剂肾病

NLRD-DCACSPCICIN

《中南医学科学杂志》 2026 (3)

476-479,4

北京怀柔医院科研骨干基金项目(HRYY-2022-09)

10.15972/j.cnki.43-1509/r.2026.03.024

评论