我国奶业主产区养殖碳排放脱钩效应研究OA

Under the goals of carbon peaking and carbon neutrality,promoting greenhouse gas emission reductions in the dairy industry has become a key issue restricting the green and low-carbon development of China's dairy sector.This paper uses the IPCC coefficient method to estimate the total carbon emissions and carbon emission intensity of dairy farming in China's main dairy-producing regions from 2011 to 2023,and applies the Tapio decoupling model to analyze the decoupling effect of carbon emissions.The results show that the total carbon emissions in the main dairy-producing regions of China indicates a trend of high-level fluctuating growth-sharp decline-slow recovery,while car-bon emission intensity shows a trend of slow decline first,then rapid decline,and then slow decline again,with a cliff-like drop occurring in 2017.There are significant regional differences in both carbon emissions and carbon emis-sion intensity,and the relationship between carbon emissions and dairy industry economic development is dominated by strong decoupling,interspersed with weak decoupling and expansive negative decoupling.Finally,it proposes suggestions to facilitate the low-carbon development of China's main dairy-producing regions,such as implementing differentiated regional emission reduction strategies,promoting overall convergence of carbon emission intensity,continuously investing in technological innovation and strengthening the state of strong decoupling.