计及惯量响应及风光联合出力的新型电力系统运行风险评估OA
Operational risk assessment of a new power system considering inertia response and wind-solar combined output
针对当前电力系统停电事故模型无法有效模拟系统受扰后,惯量响应过程中扰动功率与实际情形分配不符的问题,文章建立一种考虑惯量响应的电力系统停电事故演化模型,并提出一种计及惯量响应及风光联合出力的新型电力系统运行风险评估方法.首先,从风光出力的不确定性和相关性出发,选用风光联合出力概率模型;其次,通过非序贯蒙特卡洛法抽取系统状态,结合电力系统惯量响应及自组织临界特性,建立一种计及惯量响应及风光联合出力的新型电力系统运行风险评估体系;在考虑电压越限严重度、线路过载严重度、损失负荷严重度等风险指标的基础上,增加了初始频率变化严重度风险指标,通过层次分析法计算各指标权重;最后,以 HN某区域电网为例,在不同风光出力占比下,分别对有、无虚拟惯性支撑作用下的风光电场接入的新型电力系统进行了风险评估,验证了模型的可行性和实用性.
Aiming at the problem that the current blackout accident models of power systems fail to effectively simulate the inconsistent distribution between disturbed power and actual conditions during the inertia response process after system disturbances,this paper establishes an evolution model of power system blackout accidents considering inertia response,and proposes a novel operation risk assessment method for new power systems accounting for inertia response and wind-solar combined output.Firstly,starting from the uncertainty and correlation of wind and solar power output,a probabilistic model of wind-solar combined output is selected.Secondly,system states are sampled by the non-sequential Monte Carlo method,and a novel operation risk assessment framework for new power systems considering inertia response and wind-solar combined output is constructed by combining the inertia response and self-organized criticality characteristics of power systems.On the basis of risk indices such as voltage violation severity,line overload severity and load loss severity,the risk index of initial frequency change severity is added,and the weight of each index is calculated by the analytic hierarchy process.Finally,taking a regional power grid in HN as an example,the risk assessment of the new power system integrated with wind and photovoltaic farms is carried out with and without virtual inertia support under different proportions of wind-solar output,which verifies the feasibility and practicability of the proposed model.
于群;梁艳永;曹娜;赵静波;陈哲
山东科技大学 电气与自动化工程学院,山东 青岛 266590山东科技大学 电气与自动化工程学院,山东 青岛 266590山东科技大学 电气与自动化工程学院,山东 青岛 266590国网江苏省电力有限公司电力科学研究院,江苏 南京 211103国网江苏省电力有限公司电力科学研究院,江苏 南京 211103
能源科技
新型电力系统惯量响应扰动功率非序贯蒙特卡洛法风险评估
new power systeminertia responsedisturbed powermonte carlo methodrisk assessment
《可再生能源》 2026 (5)
652-660,9
国家电网有限公司科技项目(5100-202455028A-1-1-ZN).
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