"双碳"目标下新质生产力的碳减排效应研究OA

Under the guidance of the dual carbon goals,new quality productive forces are accelerating the shift of economic development toward green and low-carbon models by restructuring industrial patterns and upgrading technological systems.Based on panel data from 30 Chinese provinces from 2010 to 2022,this paper explores the carbon emission reduc-tion effect of new quality productive forces and its underlying mechanisms.The study finds that new quality productive forces exhibit a significant inhibitory effect on carbon emissions,a conclusion that remains robust after a series of robustness tests.Mechanism analysis reveals that industrial structure upgrading and green technology innovation are two important path-ways through which new quality productive forces substantially curb carbon emissions.Hetero-geneity analysis reveals that the carbon emission reduction effect exhibits regional dispari-ties,with the western region demonstrating a more pronounced effect.Within the new quality productive forces system,new laborers and new means of labor play a more significant role in promoting carbon emission reduction.Therefore,it is necessary to strengthen the diversi-fied support system for new quality productive forces by optimizing industrial structures,pro-moting green technology innovation,and implementing targeted,differentiated policy mea-sures to fully unlock their carbon emission reduction potential.