基于模糊层次分析法评价四川地区历史震例信息应用需求OA
Evaluation on Information Application Requirements for Historical Earthquake Cases in Sichuan Region Based on Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process
四川是我国地震多发的省份之一,积累了大量的震例资料,通过提取震例中的关键信息,可为相似地震震后处置提供参考.通过选取汶川8.0级地震(含)以来四川境内5.0级及以上震例资料,梳理出主要包含4大类、20小类,共计60条基础信息,采用模糊层次分析法对震例信息应用需求进行评价.结果表明:历史震例信息对于相似地震处置都具有一定的应用需求;震例中应急处置和地震灾情类信息对于相似地震应急处置需求权重值分别为0.3083和0.2917,对于相似地震应急处置需求优先级更高;历史震例信息的需求等级差异比较明显,需求等级较高及以上的信息基本为历史震例救援队伍派遣、人员伤亡与搜救、物资调度、转移安置、灾害范围预估、房屋破坏、次生灾害应对、舆情应对、交通管制、应急响应等与震后"救人"相关性较高的信息.
As one of the earthquake-prone provinces in China,Sichuan has accumulated a large number of earthquake case data.By extracting the key information of earthquake cases,it can provide reference for post-earthquake disposal of similar earthquakes.By selecting the data of earthquake cases with M≥5.0 in Sichuan region since the Wenchuan M8.0 earthquake(inclusive),60 basic information items including 4 major categories and 20 subcategories were sorted out.The fuzzy analytic hierarchy process was used to evaluate the application requirements of earthquake case information.The results show that similar earthquake disposal has certain application requirements for historical earthquake case information.The weight values of emergency response and earthquake disaster information for similar earthquake emergency response requirements in earthquake cases are 0.3083 and 0.2917,respectively,and the priority of similar earthquake emergency response requirements is higher.The difference in demand levels for historical earthquake case information is obviously different.Information with higher demand levels or above is mainly related to post-earthquake rescue operation,Such as the dispatch of historical earthquake rescue teams,casualties and search and rescue,material dispatch,transfer and resettlement,disaster range estimation,building damage,secondary disaster response,public opinion response,traffic control,emergency response.
宴金旭;张致伟;叶肇恒;梁远玲;郑逸;刘杨;赵雪慧;周琪
四川省地震局,成都 610000四川省地震局,成都 610000四川省地震局,成都 610000四川省地震局,成都 610000四川省地震局,成都 610000四川省地震局,成都 610000四川省地震局,成都 610000四川省地震局,成都 610000
天文与地球科学
模糊层次分析法历史震例应用需求
Fuzzy analytic hierarchy processHistorical earthquake casesApplication requirements
《华南地震》 2026 (3)
9-17,9
四川省地震局地震科技专项(LY2607)科技创新2030重大项目(2018AAA0102205)四川省地震局新质战斗力创新团队"防震减灾公共服务平台建设"地震应急青年重点任务(CEAEDEM20250209)地震应急青年重点任务(CEA_EDEM-20240211)联合资助.
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