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基于一二维耦合技术的"21·7"特大洪水堤防溃决模拟OA

Simulation of Levee Breach during the"21·7"Extreme Flood in the Weihe River Based on One-Dimensional-Two-Dimensional Coupling Technology

中文摘要英文摘要

堤防是卫河中下游地区防洪体系的重要组成部分,开展溃堤洪水演进模拟研究对防洪减灾具有重要意义.收集卫河"21·7"洪水相关资料,采用 MIKE 一二维耦合模型对卫河干流彭村溃堤过程进行模拟,计算分析了溃口流量变化过程、溃堤后洪水演进特征以及淹没水深、流速等致灾要素的变化情况.结果表明,五陵水文站水位和流量模拟值与实测值的相关系数分别为0.94和0.92,峰现时间滞后0.5 h,满足模拟精度要求;所建立的溃堤模块设置合理,溃口流量过程较为可靠,能够较好重现实际情况;泛区重灾区淹没范围与实际调度范围基本一致,袁庄村最大淹没水深与调研水深误差为8.33%.研究成果可为溃堤洪水模拟及溃堤风险评估提供技术支撑.

Dikes are a critical component of the flood control system in the middle and lower reaches of the Wei River.Studying the simulation of dike-break flood propagation is of great significance for flood prevention and disaster mitigation.This study collected data from the"21·7"flood event in the Wei River and employed a MIKE 1D-2D coupled model to simulate the Pengcun dike breach along the main channel.The simulation analyzed the breach discharge hydrograph,flood propagation process,and variations in disaster-inducing factors such as inundation depth and flow velocity after the breach.The results indicate that:For the Wuling hydrological station,the correlation coefficients between simulated and observed water levels and discharges are 0.94 and 0.92,respectively,both close to 1,demonstrating a high level of agreement.The simulated peak discharge/timing lags 0.5 hours behind the observed peak,but the overall simulation meets the required accuracy criteria.The dike breach module was reasonably configured,and the breach discharge process effectively reflected the actual conditions.The inundation extent in severely affected areas aligned well with actual emergency response records,and the maximum inundation depth in Yuanzhuang Village showed a 6.09%deviation from field survey data.The findings of this study provide technical support for dike-break flood simulation and risk assessment,contributing to improved flood management strategies.

刘海娇;薛丽娟;张志斌;曾坤

天津市龙网科技发展有限公司,天津 300170天津市龙网科技发展有限公司,天津 300170天津市龙网科技发展有限公司,天津 300170天津市龙网科技发展有限公司,天津 300170

建筑与水利

卫河"21·7"特大洪水MIKE FLOOD耦合模型溃堤洪水模拟

Weihe River"21·7"Extreme FloodMIKE FLOOD 1D-2D Coupled Modellevee breachflood inundation modeling

《海河水利》 2026 (5)

33-41,9

10.3969/j.issn.1004-7328.2026.05.006

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