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基于多模态超声特征的列线图模型可有效预测三阴性乳腺癌OA

A nomogram model based on multimodal ultrasound features effectively predicts triple-negative breast cancer

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 探讨多模态超声及病理特征在三阴性乳腺癌诊断中的预测价值,构建基于多参数特征的列线图模型并评价其效能.方法 纳入2023年10月~2025年10月在山西医科大学第一医院及联勤保障部队第985医院就诊的50例三阴性乳腺癌(TNBC)患者和100例非三阴性乳腺癌(nTNBC)患者的临床数据,收集患者的一般信息,包括年龄、性别、病史等基本特征,BI-RADS特征包括形态、方位、边缘、回声模式、后方特征及钙化情况,弹性成像参数包括SWE最大值和均值,CEUS参数包括峰值强度(PI)和达峰时间(TP),以及组织学分级、Ki-67指数及TILs密度.通过logistic回归分析筛选出TNBC的独立预测因子,并构建相应的预测列线图.采用ROC曲线分析评估并计算曲线下面积(AUC)及校准曲线,以评估模型的预测能力与临床应用价值.结果 病理结果显示,TNBC组的病理分级主要为中等至高级别(II、III级),而nTNBC组较多为低至中级别,两组病理分级的差异有统计学意义(P<0.05),TNBC组的Ki-67指数高于nTNBC组(P<0.001),TILs密度大于nTNBC组(P<0.001),两组logistic回归分析结果显示TNBC的独立预测因子为形态为卵圆形(OR=0.291,P=0.006)、无钙化(OR=0.143,P<0.001)、后方回声增强(OR=0.187,P<0.001)、SWE均值较低(OR=0.753,P<0.001)和CEUS PI值较高(OR=1.091,P<0.001),该预测模型的ROC曲线下面积为0.894,具有较高的预测准确性.结论 本研究构建的预测列线图及其验证结果显示出良好的诊断效能,有助于提高临床对TNBC的诊断,从而优化治疗方案,改善患者预后.

Objective To investigate the predictive value of multimodal ultrasound and pathological features in the diagnosis of triple-negative breast cancer(TNBC),and to construct a nomogram model based on multi-parameter features and evaluate its diagnostic performance.Methods Clinical data of 50 patients with TNBC and 100 patients with non-TNBC(nTNBC)treated at the First Hospital of Shanxi Medical University and the 985th Hospital from October 2023 to October 2025 were retrospectively analyzed.General patient information including age,gender,and medical history was collected.BI-RADS features included morphology,orientation,margin,echo pattern,posterior features,and calcifications.Elastography parameters included maximum and mean SWE values.Contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS)parameters included peak intensity(PI)and time to peak(TP).Histological grade,Ki-67 index,and tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte(TILs)density were also recorded.Independent predictors of TNBC were identified by logistic regression analysis,and a corresponding predictive nomogram was constructed.The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC)and calibration curve were used to evaluate the predictive ability and clinical application value of the model.Results Pathological analysis showed that most patients in the TNBC group had moderate to high histological grades(grade II and III),whereas the nTNBC group predominantly had low to intermediate grades,with a statistically significant difference between the two groups(P<0.05).The Ki-67 index and TILs density were significantly higher in the TNBC group than in the nTNBC group(both P<0.001).Logistic regression analysis identified oval shape(OR=0.291,P=0.006),absence of calcifications(OR=0.143,P<0.001),posterior acoustic enhancement(OR=0.187,P<0.001),lower mean SWE value(OR=0.753,P<0.001),and higher CEUS PI value(OR=1.091,P<0.001)as independent predictors of TNBC.The AUC of the predictive model was 0.894,indicating high predictive accuracy.Conclusion The predictive nomogram constructed in this study and its validation results show good diagnostic effectiveness,which helps improve clinical diagnosis of TNBC,thereby optimizing treatment plans and improving patient prognosis.

王泽;巩箫音;庄军;夏楠;张威娜;梁瑞林;贾春梅

山西医科大学医学影像学院,山西 太原 030001||联勤保障部队第九八五医院超声诊断科,山西 太原 030001联勤保障部队第九八五医院超声诊断科,山西 太原 030001联勤保障部队第九八五医院超声诊断科,山西 太原 030001联勤保障部队第九八五医院超声诊断科,山西 太原 030001联勤保障部队第九八五医院超声诊断科,山西 太原 030001联勤保障部队第九八五医院超声诊断科,山西 太原 030001山西医科大学第一医院超声科,山西 太原 030001

三阴性乳腺癌列线图超声检查预测模型回顾性研究

triple-negative breast cancernomogramultrasonographypredictive modelsretrospective study

《分子影像学杂志》 2026 (5)

587-593,7

山西省自然科学研究面上项目(20210302123259)

10.12122/j.issn.1674-4500.2026.05.04

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