首页|期刊导航|电器与能效管理技术|基于混合蜂群优化和深度信念网络的短期电力负荷多变量耦合预测算法

基于混合蜂群优化和深度信念网络的短期电力负荷多变量耦合预测算法OA

Short-Term Power Load Multivariable Coupled Prediction Algorithm Based on Hybrid Bee Colony Optimization and Deep Belief Network

中文摘要英文摘要

针对传统负荷预测算法难以对电力负荷数据中的非线性进行有效处理的问题,设计了一种新型短期电力负荷多变量耦合预测算法.利用深度信念网络对多变量之间的复杂耦合关系和深层特征表示进行自动学习,实现了对非线性特征和深层特征的有效提取.同时在传统蜂群优化算法中引入超参数自适应选择策略,形成混合蜂群优化算法,实现了关键参数的全局寻优,有效提升了算法的泛化能力和预测精度.结果表明,所提算法的预测准确率和预测效率均达到99%以上,实现了负荷变化整体趋势的准确捕捉,为电力系统的实时调度和优化奠定了重要基础.

The traditional load forecasting algorithm is difficult to effectively deal with the nonlinearity in the power load data.A novel multivariable coupling forecasting algorithm for short-term power load is designed.The deep belief network is used to automatically learn the complex coupling relationship between multiple variables and the deep feature representation,by which the effective extraction of nonlinear features and deep features is realized.At the same time,the hyper parameter adaptive selection strategy is introduced into the traditional bee colony optimization algorithm to form a hybrid bee colony optimization algorithm,which realizes the global optimization of key parameters,and effectively improves the generalization ability and prediction accuracy of the algorithm.The results show that the prediction accuracy and prediction efficiency of the proposed algorithm are exceed 99%,which realizes the effective and accurate capture of the overall trend of load change,and lays an important foundation for the real-time scheduling and optimization of the power system.

郭帅朝;马闯

国网河北省电力有限公司邯郸供电分公司 056000中车唐山机车车辆有限公司,河北唐山 063011

信息技术与安全科学

短期电力负荷负荷预测深度信念网络混合蜂群优化多变量耦合

short-term power loadload forecastingdeep belief networkhybrid bee colony optimizationmultivariable coupling

《电器与能效管理技术》 2026 (5)

1-7,7

国家自然科学基金项目(51877152)

10.16628/j.cnki.2095-8188.2026.05.001

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