基于风险法和后果法的化工装置建筑物抗爆要求评估比较研究OA
A Comparative Study on the Evaluation of Blast-resistant Requirements for Chemical Plant Buildings Based on Risk-based and Consequence-based Approaches
石油化工建筑物抗爆要求评估通常采用风险法或后果法,但不同方法对评估结果及设计判定的影响尚缺乏系统对比.以1 套大型乙烯装置和1 套一般化工装置为案例,采用后果法和风险法对建筑物抗爆要求进行对比分析.其中,后果法分别选取25 mm 和50 mm 泄漏孔径开展爆炸后果模拟,风险法选取累计发生频率1.0×10-4/年的爆炸载荷作为比较基准,对目标建筑物承受的爆炸超压、冲量及正压持续时间进行比较.结果表明:在大型乙烯装置案例中,50 mm 后果法计算结果最大,25 mm 后果法结果均高于风险法;距装置最近的公用工程机柜间,其 25 mm 和 50 mm 场景超压分别为风险法的 3.6 倍和5.4 倍.在一般化工装置案例中,25 mm 与50 mm 后果法结果接近,但两者均明显高于风险法,风险法对应建筑物爆炸超压均小于1 kPa.研究结果表明,在高活性物料、大流量且爆炸源较集中的装置中,后果法结果对泄漏孔径更敏感;在低流量装置中,泄漏孔径放大带来的差异有限.石油化工建筑物抗爆要求评估应结合工程决策时间周期、目标建筑物重要性、石油化工装置的物料特性和操作条件、泄漏场景的可信性等,综合判断后选择适用的评估方法.
The assessment of blast-resistant requirements for petrochemical buildings typically employs risk-based or consequence-based approaches;however,a systematic comparison of how different methods impact e-valuation results and design judgments is currently lacking.To address this gap,a comparative analysis of blast-resistant requirements was conducted using both consequence-based and risk-based approaches,employing a large ethylene unit and a general chemical unit as case studies.For the consequence-based approach,leak hole diameters of 25 mm and 50 mm were selected to simulate explosion consequences.Meanwhile,the risk-based approach utilized a blast load with a cumulative occurrence frequency of 1.0×10-4/year as the comparative baseline to evaluate the explosion overpressure,impulse,and positive pressure duration experienced by the tar-get buildings.The results indicated that in the large ethylene unit case,the 50 mm consequence-based approach yielded the highest values,and the 25 mm approach results consistently exceeded those of the risk-based ap-proach.Specifically,for the utility cabinet room located closest to the unit,the overpressures under the 25 mm and 50 mm scenarios were 3.6 and 5.4 times those of the risk-based approach,respectively.Conversely,in the general chemical unit case,the results from the 25 mm and 50 mm consequence-based approaches were similar,yet both were significantly higher than those of the risk-based approach,which produced explosion overpressures below 1 kPa for the buildings.These findings revealed that in units characterized by highly reactive materials,high flow rates,and concentrated explosion sources,the consequence-based results were more sensitive to the leak hole diameter,whereas in low-flow units,the differences caused by enlarging the leak size were limited.Consequently,the evaluation of blast-resistant requirements for petrochemical buildings should be based on a comprehensive judgment,carefully selecting appropriate assessment methods by considering the engineering de-cision timeframe,the importance of the target building,the material characteristics and operating conditions of the petrochemical unit,and the credibility of the leak scenarios.
吴军
中国石化扬子石油化工有限公司,江苏 南京 210048
资源环境
石油化工建筑物抗爆要求评估泄漏孔直径后果模拟风险计算
petrochemical industryblast-resistant requirements assessmentleak hole diameterconse-quence simulationrisk calculation
《安全、健康和环境》 2026 (5)
54-60,7
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