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预后营养指数对心源性休克患者预后的预测价值OA

The predictive value of prognostic nutritional index for the prognosis of patients with cardiogenic shock

中文摘要英文摘要

目的 探讨预后营养指数(prognostic nutritional index,PNI)对心源性休克(cardiogenic shock,CS)患者预后的预测价值.方法 提取重症监护医学信息集市-Ⅳ数据库中759例CS患者的临床数据.按90d预后情况分为存活组(n=384)和死亡组(n=375),单因素分析影响预后的危险因素.限制性三次样条(restricted cubic splines,RCS)分析PNI与90d死亡风险的非线性趋势关系,同时按最佳截断值分为高PNI组(≥39.36,n=377)和低PNI组(<39.36,n=382).Kaplan-Meier方法和Cox比例风险回归模型分析PNI与患者90d和360d全因死亡率之间的关系.结果 共759例CS患者纳入研究,PNI为39.32(34.04,44.31),90d全因死亡率为49.41%.存活组和死亡组患者的年龄、急性生理学与慢性健康评分系统Ⅱ、阴离子间隙、肌酐、天冬氨酸转氨酶、总胆红素、血镁、PNI、血红蛋白、血小板、总住院时间、治疗(机械通气、肾脏替代治疗、去甲肾上腺素、多巴胺)、合并症(恶性肿瘤、急性肾损伤、高血压、充血性心力衰竭)差异有统计学意义(P<0.05).RCS显示PNI与90d全因死亡风险整体呈非线性趋势关系(χ2=24.590,P<0.001),即随着指标的升高,死亡风险下降,且幅度逐渐变缓.Kaplan-Meier生存曲线分析进一步证实这种关系,低PNI组患者的90d和360d累计生存率低,死亡风险较高(χ2=18.04、23.41,均P<0.001).调整混杂因素后,Cox分析发现PNI与90d死亡率[HR=1.461(95%CI:1.157~1.845),P=0.001]和360d死亡率[HR=1.473(95%CI:1.188~1.827),P<0.001]呈负相关.低PNI水平(<39.36)对CS患者90d和360d死亡率具有预测价值.结论 低PNI水平(<39.36)是CS患者90d和360d全因死亡率的独立危险因素,可作为CS患者临床转归的重要预测因素,有助于医生及护理人员及时评估病情,调整治疗策略和综合护理干预.

Objective To explore the predictive value of prognostic nutritional index(PNI)for the prognosis of patients with cardiogenic shock(CS).Methods The clinical data of 759 CS patients were extracted from the medical information mart for intensive care Ⅳ database.The patients were divided into survival group(n=384)and death group(n=375)according to the 90-day prognosis,and the risk factors affecting prognosis were analyzed by univariate analysis.The nonlinear trend relationship between PNI and the risk of 90-day mortality was analyzed by restricted cubic splines(RCS),and the patients were divided into high PNI group(≥39.36,n=377)and low PNI group(<39.36,n=382)according to the optimal cutoff value.The Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard regression model were used to analyze the relationship between PNI and the 90-day and 360-day all-cause mortality of patients.Results A total of 759 CS patients were included in the study,the PNI was 39.32(34.04,44.31),and the 90-day all-cause mortality rate was 49.41%.There were significant differences in age,acute physiology and chronic health evaluationⅡscore,anion gap,creatinine,aspartate aminotransferase,total bilirubin,blood magnesium,PNI,hemoglobin,platelets,total hospital stay,treatment(mechanical ventilation,renal replacement therapy,norepinephrine,dopamine),and comorbidities(malignant tumors,acute kidney injury,hypertension,congestive heart failure)between the survival group and the death group(P<0.05).RCS analysis found that PNI and the risk of all-cause mortality at 90 days showed an overall nonlinear trend relationship(χ2=24.590,P<0.001).That is,as the index increased,the risk of death decreased,and the amplitude gradually slowed down and tended to be gentle.Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis further confirmed this relationship.The patients in the low PNI group had low 90-day and 360-day cumulative survival rates and a higher risk of death(χ2=18.04,23.41,both P<0.001).After adjusting for confounding factors,Cox analysis found that PNI was negatively correlated with 90-day mortality[HR=1.461(95%CI:1.157-1.845),P=0.001]and 360-day mortality[HR=1.473(95%CI:1.188-1.827),P<0.001].Low PNI levels(<39.36)have predictive value for 90-day and 360-day mortality in CS patients.Conclusion Low PNI level(<39.36)is an independent risk factor for 90-day and 360-day all-cause mortality in CS patients.It can serve as an important predictor of clinical outcome in CS patients and help medical staff to assess the condition,adjust treatment strategies,and implement comprehensive nursing interventions.

施丽琴;原梦;富明民;叶莉莉

湖州市中心医院心血管内科,浙江 湖州 313000湖州市中心医院重症医学科,浙江 湖州 313000湖州市中心医院康复科,浙江 湖州 313000湖州市中心医院重症医学科,浙江 湖州 313000

医药卫生

心源性休克预后营养指数预后

Cardiogenic shockPrognostic nutritional indexPrognosis

《中国现代医生》 2026 (12)

1-5,5

浙江省医药卫生科技计划项目(2023KY314)

10.3969/j.issn.1673-9701.2026.12.001

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