2010-2021年甘肃省非霍奇金淋巴瘤发病与死亡流行趋势及年龄变化分析OA
Epidemiological trends and age-specific changes in the incidence and mortality of non-Hodgkin lymphoma in Gansu Province,2010-2021
目的 分析2010-2021年甘肃省非霍奇金淋巴瘤(non-Hodgkin lymphoma,NHL)发病与死亡变化趋势及年龄特征.方法 利用甘肃省肿瘤登记处2010-2021年资料,计算中国人口标准化发病(死亡)率、年龄别发病(死亡)率及标准化平均发病(死亡)年龄.采用Joinpoint回归模型计算平均年度变化百分比(average annual percentage change,AAPC)以评估时间趋势,应用一般线性回归模型分析平均年龄的变化趋势,并通过出生队列趋势及年龄别构成分析描述不同年龄人群发病与死亡的变化特征.结果 2010-2021年甘肃省NHL中标发病率呈显著下降趋势(AAPC=-5.49%,P<0.05),中标死亡率下降更为明显(AAPC=-15.71%,P<0.05).除2011年外,男性发病和死亡水平均高于女性,城市地区整体水平高于农村.年龄分布显示发病率随年龄增长呈"先升后降"分布特征,70~79岁达到峰值,而死亡率随年龄增长持续升高.平均发病年龄和平均死亡年龄总体呈上升趋势.结论 2010-2021年甘肃省NHL发病率与死亡率总体呈下降趋势,疾病负担有向高龄人群集中的趋势.应加强老年人群早筛早治并完善肿瘤登记监测体系,以降低NHL的疾病负担.
Objective To analyze the temporal patterns and age-related characteristics of the incidence and mortality of non-Hodgkin lymphoma(NHL)in Gansu Province from 2010 to 2021.Methods Data were obtained from the Gansu Provincial Cancer Registry for 2010-2021.Age-standardized incidence(ASIRC)and mortality(ASMRC)rates by Chinese standard population,age-specific inci-dence and mortality rates,and standardized mean age at incidence and mortality were calculated.Joinpoint regression analysis was applied to estimate the average annual percentage change(AAPC)for quantifying temporal trends.Linear regression models were utilized to evaluate the temporal trend in mean age.Descriptive analyses stratified by birth cohort and age-specific composition were conducted to describe the variations across age groups.Results From 2010 to 2021,the ASIRC of NHL in Gansu Province showed a significant downward trend(AAPC=-5.49%,P<0.05).The ASMRC also declined,with a larger magnitude of reduction(AAPC=-15.71%,P<0.05).Overall,NHL incidence and mortality were consistently higher among males than females,and higher in urban areas than in rural areas.Analysis of age distribution demonstrated that the incidence rate first rises then falls with advancing age,reaching a peak in the 70-79 age group,whereas the mortality rate keeps rising continuously with age.Both the mean age at incidence and the mean age at mortality show an overall upward trend.Conclusions From 2010 to 2021,the overall incidence and mortality rates of NHL in Gansu Province declined generally,and both suggested a trend of shifting toward older populations.Strengthening early detection and standardized management in this population,along with further improvement of cancer registration and surveillance systems,provides evidence for regional cancer prevention and control.
王博乐;刘玉琴;叶延程;张雁山;秦天燕;丁高恒;朱佳禾;王佳;赵晓莉;梁雪雪;巩秦黎
733000 武威 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院730050 兰州 甘肃省肿瘤医院肿瘤流行病研究中心733000 武威 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院733000 武威 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院733000 武威 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院730050 兰州 甘肃省肿瘤医院肿瘤流行病研究中心730050 兰州 甘肃省肿瘤医院肿瘤流行病研究中心730050 兰州 甘肃省肿瘤医院肿瘤流行病研究中心733000 武威 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院733000 武威 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院733000 武威 甘肃省武威肿瘤医院
医药卫生
非霍奇金淋巴瘤趋势分析发病率死亡率甘肃省
Non-Hodgkin lymphomaTrend analysisIncidence rateMortality rateGansu Province
《中国癌症防治杂志》 2026 (2)
135-141,7
武威市科技计划项目(2023LC5011)
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