计及电力气象的"源-网-荷"影响评估与电力系统规划方法综述OA

The global temperature rises and the frequent occurrence of extreme weather events induced by climate change will have significant impacts on the whole process of power generation,transmission and distribution,and load side of the power system.Most existing studies regard meteorological data as the boundary conditions of power planning and operation.However,few studies have focused on summarizing the key technologies of climate models and impact assessment of'source-grid-load'in addressing the data requirements of emerging power system planning models.To bridge this gap,the study first summarizes the key technologies of climate models for predicting future meteorological data and extreme weather events.Second,from the perspective of long-term climate change,the typical application paradigms of climate change are reviewed in wind and solar potential assessments and load demand forecasting.Third,from the perspective of short-term extreme weather events,the mechanisms,and evaluations of their impacts-such as tropical cyclones,floods,extreme temperature events,and wildfires—are summarized on various aspects of the power system.Furthermore,the interplay and applications of climate models in power system planning are reviewed to address the needs of energy analysis,modeling,and resilience assessment.Finally,this study proposes research directions for power system planning for climate adaptation.The interdisciplinary integration of electrical engineering and meteorology is explored,offering insights for future research.