中国城乡融合发展水平的时空演变、区域差异及驱动机制OACHSSCD
Spatiotemporal Evolution,Regional Differences and Driving Mechanisms of Urban-Rural Integrated Development Level in China
推进城乡融合有助于解决城乡发展不平衡的问题,对实现中国式现代化具有重大意义.文章通过构建城乡融合发展水平评价指标体系,测度2011-2024年中国30个省份的城乡融合发展水平,并考察其时空演变特征及驱动机制.结果表明:中国城乡融合发展水平及其各维度发展水平均呈上升趋势,要素融合、空间融合发展水平均低于资源融合发展水平;东部地区城乡融合发展水平显著高于中部和西部地区;城乡融合、资源融合和空间融合发展水平的总体差异呈下降趋势,且总体差异主要来源于区域间差异,其次是区域内差异、超变密度;城乡融合及其各维度发展水平均存在显著的空间自相关性,"高-高"集聚省份主要分布在东部地区;人均GDP、产业结构高度化指数、金融业增加值、外商投资企业投资总额、财政支持、城乡社区事务支出和农林水事务支出对城乡融合及其各维度发展水平的影响存在异质性.
Promoting urban-rural integration helps address the imbalance in urban-rural development and is of great signifi-cance for achieving Chinese-style modernization.This paper constructs an evaluation index system for urban-rural integrated de-velopment level,measures the development level of urban-rural integration in 30 provinces of China from 2011 to 2024,and fur-ther examines the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving mechanisms.The results go as below:The level of ur-ban-rural integrated development and its various dimensions in China exhibit an overall upward trend,while the development lev-els of factor integration and spatial integration remain lower than that of resource integration.The level of urban-rural integrated development in the eastern region is significantly higher than that in the central and western regions.The overall disparities in ur-ban-rural integration,resource integration,and spatial integration development levels show a declining trend,with overall differ-ences mainly originating from inter-regional disparities,followed by intra-regional disparities and hypervariable density.The de-velopment levels of urban-rural integration and its various dimensions exhibit significant spatial autocorrelation,with"high-high"agglomeration provinces mainly distributed in the eastern region.The effects of per capita GDP,the industrial structure upgrading index,value added of the financial sector,total investment of foreign-invested enterprises,fiscal support,expenditure on urban and rural community affairs,and expenditure on agriculture,forestry,and water affairs on urban-rural integration and its various dimensions are heterogeneous.
潘子纯;朱玉春
南京林业大学经济管理学院,南京 210037西北农林科技大学经济管理学院,陕西咸阳 712100
管理科学
城乡融合时空演变区域差异驱动机制
urban-rural integrationspatiotemporal evolutionregional differencesdriving mechanisms
《统计与决策》 2026 (8)
34-39,6
国家社会科学基金重大项目(22&ZD113)
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