基于列车牵引运行仿真的碳排放量预测方法OA
Carbon Emission Prediction Method Based on Train Traction Operation Simulation
铁路运输碳排放主要来源于列车牵引运行碳排放,基于列车运行受力分析,构建动力牵引虚拟仿真软件,设置不同路况条件,建立牵引运行碳排放归一化预测模型.对比FXD1-J型动车组列车在案例线路LC上实际运行碳排放与虚拟仿真及预测模型测算碳排放的差距,发现在LC全线实际运行碳排放量为4.53 tCO2e,仿真软件测算碳排放量较实际运行低1.7%,预测模型测算碳排放量较实际运行低6.5%.虚拟仿真和预测模型测算结果均表现出线路条件对碳排放量的影响与实际运行类似,说明2种测算方法均能较准确地测算牵引运行碳排放量,但仿真软件需要输入详细的线路及列车属性数据,适用于已建成铁路,而预测模型更适用于可研或初步设计.研究结果为铁路低碳线路优选提供方法支撑.
The carbon emissions from railway transportation are primarily derived from carbon emissions during train traction operations.Based on the force analysis during train operation,a virtual simulation software for power traction was developed.By setting different road conditions,a normalized prediction model for carbon emissions during traction operation was established.The actual operation's carbon emissions of the FXD1-J type electric multiple unit train on the case line LC were compared with those calculated by the virtual simulation and prediction models.It was found that the actual operation's carbon emission of the FXD1-J type electric multiple unit train on the entire LC line was 4.53 tCO2e;the carbon emission calculated by the simulation software was 1.7%lower than that of the actual operation,and the carbon emission calculated by the prediction model was 6.5%lower than that of the actual operation.The results obtained from both virtual simulation and prediction model indicate that the impact of line conditions on carbon emissions is consistent with that observed in actual operation,suggesting that both calculation methods can accurately calculate the carbon emissions from traction operation.However,the simulation software requires the input of detailed line and train attribute data,and it is applicable for completed railways,while the prediction model is more applicable for feasibility studies or preliminary design.The research results provide methodological support for the optimization of low-carbon railway lines.
蒋曦辕;苗丁洁;刘北胜;韩京芮;聂梦凡;李雅琪;冉墨文
北京工业大学 北京-都柏林国际学院,北京 100124北京交通大学 环境学院,北京 100044中国铁道科学研究院集团有限公司 电子计算技术研究所,北京 100081北京交通大学 环境学院,北京 100044北京交通大学 环境学院,北京 100044北京交通大学 环境学院,北京 100044中国铁路经济规划研究院有限公司 经济与管理研究所,北京 100038
交通工程
动力牵引碳排放能源消耗虚拟仿真软件归一化预测模型
Power TractionCarbon EmissionEnergy ConsumptionVirtual Simulation SoftwareNormalized Prediction Model
《铁道运输与经济》 2026 (5)
73-83,11
国家自然科学基金铁路基础研究联合基金项目(U2268208)中国国家铁路集团有限公司科技研究开发计划课题(J2024Z406)
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