首页|期刊导航|热带气象学报|2008-2023年影响厦门市的台风统计特征

2008-2023年影响厦门市的台风统计特征OA

Statistical Characteristics of Typhoons Affecting Xiamen from 2008 to 2023

中文摘要英文摘要

利用厦门区域常规气象观测资料以及中国气象局上海台风研究所(CMA-STI)热带气旋最佳路径数据集资料,对2008-2023年影响厦门市的台风统计特征进行系统分析.结果表明:(1)2008-2023年影响厦门市的台风共计55个,年均3.4个,主要集中在7-9月.其中,78%的影响台风在福建、台湾和广东登陆.(2)当台风中心距离厦门市300 km以内时,降水和大风主要是由台风本体云系造成,台风位于厦门市西侧时更易产生短时强降水;且台风中心离厦门市越近,自身强度越强,所引发的风力越强.当台风中心距离厦门300~600 km时,若台风处于西北象限,产生局地性短时强降水的概率达到10.9%;引起大风的台风位于厦门市南侧海面,特别是在秋季和冷空气共同影响下,有利于大风强度加强.(3)大部分影响台风造成的降水空间分布都较不均匀,强降水过程影响持续1天左右,且超75%以上的台风伴随短时强降水天气.半数影响台风能造成8级及以上平均风和10级及以上阵风;大部分台风带来的强风持续时间较短,风力影响范围较小且影响较为集中.降水影响和大风影响之间相关性不高,对厦门市产生较高影响的台风多数以降水影响为主.

Based on the routine meteorological observation data in the Xiamen region and the China Meteorological Administration-Shanghai Typhoon Institute(CMA-STI)tropical cyclone best path dataset,this study systematically analyzes the statistical characteristics of typhoons affecting Xiamen from 2008 to 2023.The results show that:(1)There were a total of 55 typhoons affecting Xiamen from 2008 to 2023,with an annual average of 3.4,mainly concentrated from July to September.78%of these typhoons made landfall in Fujian,Taiwan,and Guangdong.(2)Within a range of 300 km from Xiamen,precipitation and strong winds are primarily induced by their intrinsic effects.Typhoons positioned west of Xiamen exhibit a significantly higher propensity to trigger short-duration heavy precipitation.The closer a typhoon was to Xiamen and the greater its intensity,the stronger the wind it induced.Within the range of 300~600 km,there was a 10.9%probability of generating localized short-duration heavy rainfall when the typhoon was in the northwest quadrant.Typhoons to the south of Xiamen,particularly in autumn and when interacting with cold air,were more conducive to stronger winds.(3)Most of the precipitation caused by typhoons was unevenly distributed,with the strongest impact lasting for about a day and over 75%of typhoons accompanied by short-term heavy rainfall weather.Half of the typhoons could cause average winds of level 8 or above,gusts of level 10 or above,and most typhoons had short duration strong winds with limited impact and concentrated effects.The correlation between precipitation and strong winds remains weak,indicating that most high-impact typhoons affecting Xiamen are mainly affected by precipitation.

荀爱萍;赵玉春;朱婧;王婧;吴毅楠

厦门市海峡气象开放重点实验室,福建 厦门 361012||厦门市集美区气象局,福建 厦门 361024厦门市海峡气象开放重点实验室,福建 厦门 361012厦门市集美区气象局,福建 厦门 361024厦门市海峡气象开放重点实验室,福建 厦门 361012||厦门市气象台,福建 厦门 361012厦门市集美区气象局,福建 厦门 361024

天文与地球科学

台风风雨强度统计分析

typhoonintensity of rainfall and strong galestatistical analysis

《热带气象学报》 2026 (2)

261-273,13

厦门市自然科学基金(3502Z202573107、3502Z202573338)福建省自然科学基金项目(2023J011338、2021J01464、2023J05061、2023J05060)共同资助

10.16032/j.issn.1004-4965.2026.023

评论